Match Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza February 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.20 — +13.7% better than the market.

Raków Częstochowa holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Nieciecza's average attack, hinting at a tactical battle where Raków's compact block could frustrate the visitors. Recent form is similar, but Raków’s home momentum and better defensive resilience may tilt the balance.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Moderate home edge supports control
Similar form but home side’s tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.20 ✓ Cashed

AI 52% Implied 45% +1.20u

+120%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAK 3-4-3 · TER 5-3-2

RAK · 3-4-3 5-3-2 · TER

10 López

📊 Statistics

RAK 1 – 0 TER

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Raków Częstochowa beat Nieciecza 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 0.93. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.97 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.20	—	52%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS No	2.05	—	50%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.76	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.50	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.48	—	73%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Home Win	1.55	—	67%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	27%	Cashed	+3.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.21	—	67%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.36	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.80	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.43	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.97u	−12% ROI

Match Raków Częstochowa vs Nieciecza February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.20 — +13.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled