P
Prognosist
P
Home Poland Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin — Lechia Gdansk

Match Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk February 15, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 11:15
2:3
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk
L L L L L Away · last 5
Motor Lublin Arena · Lublin Referee Paweł Raczkowski, Poland
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.74
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.41
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 44% · book 2.69
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
0.46 – 3.00
Δ −2.54
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lechia Gdansk enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, despite Motor Lublin's slightly better recent form. The away side's offensive threat could exploit Motor's less robust defense, while the home team benefits from a mild home advantage and a compact block. Expect a tactical battle with moderate pace, leaning towards a controlled game with chances for both sides.

  • Lechia's superior offensive firepower vs Motor's defense
  • Home momentum and pressing edge for Motor Lublin
  • Balanced pace suggesting a strategic midfield contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

MOT 23 LEC
59%
Possession (%)
41%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.00
7
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
9
1
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
13
2
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
11
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
3
Yellow Cards
7
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Lechia Gdansk won 3–2 away at Motor Lublin. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 75% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.00 to 0.46. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.46 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.73 units (Brier 0.197).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.74 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.41 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.69 44% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.99 44% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 50% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 2.50 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.60 29% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.85 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.58 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.55 69% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.13 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 54% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.65 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 74% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.73u −16% ROI