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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Nacional — Arouca

Prediction: Nacional vs Arouca, March 21

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Mar · 16:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Arouca
Arouca
W D L D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAC
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · ARO
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Nacional
W/D/L 0-0-5
Goals (for / against) 5 / 15
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-3
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.06 / 1.92
Arouca
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.21 / 1.08

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.13
Goals Scored
1.38
2.25
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
3.13
Shots on Target
3.75
4.38
Corners
3.13
49.88
Possession (%)
48.88
96.83
Efficiency index
102.70
74.51
Adjusted index
101.42
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
22
OFF · home
67
6
DEF · home
56
17
OFF · away
28
6
DEF · away
17
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Nacional wins when scoring first
50%
①
Arouca wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Arouca BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Arouca Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Arouca comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Nacional · last 10 at home

0–15 25%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 8%
61–75 42%
76–90 25%

Arouca · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 22%
61–75 44%
76–90 33%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Miguel Baeza
NAC · Attacker
1 G · 0.46 g/90
Léo Santos
NAC · Defender
1 G · 0.33 g/90
Barbero
ARO · Attacker
4 G · 0.71 g/90
D. Nandín
ARO · Attacker
1 G