P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Arouca

Preview Nacional vs Arouca March 21, 2027 — Preview and Prediction

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 D W L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Mar · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Arouca
Arouca
W W L Away · last 5
Home Win · NAC
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · ARO
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Nacional
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 6 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.05 / 1.63
Arouca
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.22 / 1.39

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.33
Goals Scored
1.67
1
Goals Conceded
0.67
1.24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
2.33
Shots on Target
3
4.67
Corners
3
53
Possession (%)
46.67
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
71
OFF · home
76
76
DEF · home
94
29
OFF · away
12
12
DEF · away
6
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Nacional wins when scoring first
83%
Arouca wins when scoring first
83%
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Arouca BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Arouca Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%
Arouca comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Nacional · last 10 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 0%
31–45 8%
46–60 15%
61–75 38%
76–90 23%

Arouca · last 10 away

0–15 9%
16–30 0%
31–45 9%
46–60 27%
61–75 45%
76–90 9%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Miguel Baeza
NAC · Attacker
1 G · 0.46 g/90
Léo Santos
NAC · Defender
1 G · 0.33 g/90
Barbero
ARO · Attacker
2 G · 0.97 g/90
D. Nandín
ARO · Attacker
1 G