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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Estrela — Arouca

Prediction: Estrela vs Arouca, March 7

Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 D W D L L
Kick-off
Sun 07 Mar · 16:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Arouca
Arouca
W D L D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EST
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · ARO
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Estrela
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.48 / 0.78
Arouca
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.21 / 1.08

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.75
Goals Scored
1.38
1.88
Goals Conceded
0.88
0.74
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
4.25
Shots on Target
3.75
4.25
Corners
3.13
51.25
Possession (%)
48.88
110.49
Efficiency index
102.70
124.30
Adjusted index
101.42
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
56
OFF · home
67
28
DEF · home
56
78
OFF · away
28
28
DEF · away
17
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Estrela wins when scoring first
0%
①
Arouca wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Estrela BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Arouca BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Estrela Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Arouca Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Estrela comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Arouca comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Estrela · last 10 at home

0–15 8%
16–30 0%
31–45 23%
46–60 23%
61–75 23%
76–90 23%

Arouca · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 22%
61–75 44%
76–90 33%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

L. Antonetti
EST · Attacker
4 G · 0.58 g/90
I. Stoica
EST · Attacker
4 G · 0.73 g/90
Barbero
ARO · Attacker
4 G · 0.71 g/90
D. Nandín
ARO · Attacker
1 G