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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Alverca — Nacional

Prediction: Alverca vs Nacional, February 21

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 21 Feb · 16:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Nacional
Nacional
L L L L L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALV
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · NAC
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Alverca
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.67 / 0.91
Nacional
W/D/L 0-0-5
Goals (for / against) 5 / 15
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-3
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.06 / 1.92

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.63
Goals Scored
1.13
1.50
Goals Conceded
2.25
0.85
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
3.88
Shots on Target
3.13
4.25
Corners
4.38
41.38
Possession (%)
49.88
100.87
Efficiency index
96.83
91.31
Adjusted index
74.51
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
28
OFF · home
22
50
DEF · home
6
72
OFF · away
17
67
DEF · away
6
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Alverca wins when scoring first
50%
①
Nacional wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Alverca BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Alverca Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Alverca comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Alverca · last 10 at home

0–15 31%
16–30 8%
31–45 0%
46–60 15%
61–75 31%
76–90 15%

Nacional · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 17%
31–45 50%
46–60 17%
61–75 17%
76–90 0%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

D. Camara
ALV · Attacker
3 G · 1.53 g/90
Vivaldo Semedo
ALV · Attacker
2 G · 0.52 g/90
Miguel Baeza
NAC · Attacker
1 G · 0.46 g/90
Léo Santos
NAC · Defender
1 G · 0.33 g/90