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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Jagiellonia — Motor Lublin

Predictions by Market: Jagiellonia vs Motor Lublin

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Home · last 5 L W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 16:30
4:1
Full-time
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
L L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JAG
61%
Best 1.80
Draw
23%
Best 3.72
Away Win · MOT
16%
Best 4.00
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.30 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (50%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.08
Show model details
Implied probability 24.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.3%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 73%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.2%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.8%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16.3%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
JAG – MOT @ 2.30
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →