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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Casa Pia — Santa Clara

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L D L W L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 19:30
0:1
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W W D W Away · last 5
Referee Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 43% · book 2.62 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 54% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.51 – 0.67
Δ −0.16
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.10 — +12.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed
AI 54% Implied 48% +1.10u
+110%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CAS 4-2-3-1 · SAN 4-3-3
Subs used · CAS
54' Silva ↑ · Araújo ↓
72' Pereira ↑ · Ofori ↓
73' Goulart ↑ · Rosas ↓
79' Zouin ↑ · Boukammiri ↓
80' Maurin ↑ · Pauwels ↓
Subs used · SAN
57' Vasconcelos ↑ · Tavares ↓
70' Oliveira ↑ · Ribeiro ↓
70' Assis ↑ · lopes ↓
77' Silva ↑ · Moreira ↓
77' Jacó ↑ · Santos ↓

Statistics

CAS 0 – 1 SAN
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.51
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
5
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
4
3
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 0 – 1
18'
▮
José Tavares
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
David Sousa
Red Card
▮
52'
Felipe Silva ↓ · Henrique Araújo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
54'
57'
⇄
Joao Vasconcelos ↓ · José Tavares ↑
Substitution 1
Henrique Araújo
Yellow Card
▮
67'
68'
▮
Emanuel Moreira
Yellow Card
70'
⇄
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira ↓ · Tiago Ribeiro ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⇄
Vitor Hugo Amorim de Assis ↓ · Vinicius lopes ↑
Substitution 3
Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira ↓ · Lawrence Ofori ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
João Goulart ↓ · Pedro Rosas ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
77'
⇄
Henrique Silva ↓ · Emanuel Moreira ↑
Substitution 4
77'
⇄
Léo Jacó ↓ · Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos ↑
Substitution 5
Aymen Zouin ↓ · Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
Evans Maurin ↓ · Benjamin Pauwels ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira
Yellow Card
▮
83'
90+2'
⚽
Joao Vasconcelos
Assist · Lucas Soares · 0–1
90+3'
▮
Joao Vasconcelos
Yellow Card
Andre Geraldes
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
90+7'
▮
Pedro Ferreira
Yellow Card
90+7'
▮
Gonçalo Paciência
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Santa Clara won 1–0 away at Casa Pia. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 5, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Joao Vasconcelos (90+2'). David Sousa was sent off in the 52' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.01 units (Brier 0.117).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 2.62 3.00 43% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Away Win 2.10 2.10 54% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 1.80 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.88 1.77 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.35 2.20 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.12 1.92 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.57 1.65 68% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.60 8.33 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.19 1.25 84% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.41 1.36 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.16 1.22 85% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 1.06 85% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.25 3.19 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.49 1.49 54% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Home Win 4.32 3.75 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.52 4.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.67 2.67 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.01u −24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
CAS – SAN @ 2.10
+12.9%
Edge
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