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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Lech Poznan — Lechia Gdansk

Predictions by Market: Lech Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 19:15
1:3
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Karol Arys, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
44%
Best 1.81
Draw
23%
Best 3.84
Away Win · LEC
33%
Best 3.89
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.79
book 2.00 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 56% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (67%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.1%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.1%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEC – LEC @ 2.00
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →