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Home England Premier League Manchester City — Sunderland

Predictions Manchester City vs Sunderland December 6, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 15:00
3:0
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
L D D W W Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Andy Madley, England
Home Win · MCI
78%
Best 1.28
Draw
16%
Best 6.00
Away Win · SUN
6%
Best 10.55
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.39
book 6.00 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 16.2%
Odds 6.52
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 6.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 40.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 6.1%
Odds 6.55
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.18
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MCI – SUN @ 6.00
+11.4%
Edge
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