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Home › England › Premier League › Manchester City — Sunderland

Predictions by Market: Manchester City vs Sunderland

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 15:00
3:0
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
L D D W W Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Andy Madley, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MCI
78%
Best 1.28
Draw
16%
Best 6.00
Away Win · SUN
6%
Best 10.55
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.39
book 6.00 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 16.2%
Odds 6.52
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.1%
Odds 6.55
Show model details
Implied probability 15.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.4%
Odds 4.18
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MCI – SUN @ 6.00
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →