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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Estoril — Famalicao

Predictions by Market: Estoril vs Famalicao

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Estoril
Estoril
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Fri 07 Aug · 19:15
1:1
Full-time
Famalicao
Famalicao
D D D W L Away · last 5
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota · Cascais Referee M. Fonseca

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EST
33%
Best 3.12
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · FAM
41%
Best 2.47
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.15
Fair odds
3.08
book 3.15 · +2.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 32% · EV +2.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (41%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 46%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.9%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 9.55
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.6%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
EST – FAM @ 3.15
+2.3%
Edge
Forecast →