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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Moreirense — SC Braga

Predictions by Market: Moreirense vs SC Braga

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 19:30
2:2
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOR
25%
Best 6.50
Draw
25%
Best 4.04
Away Win · BRA
50%
Best 1.62
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.11
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.11 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +5.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (75%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 25.3%
Odds 4.82
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10%
Odds 9.55
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.29
Show model details
Implied probability 30.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.18
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
MOR – BRA @ 2.11
+5.4%
Edge
Forecast →