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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Arka Gdynia — Motor Lublin

Match Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 11:15
1:0
Full-time
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
L L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Paweł Raczkowski, Poland
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.05
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.87
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.54
Total goals
1
1 · 0
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Motor Lublin holds a clear quality edge over Arka Gdynia, with stronger offensive and defensive metrics suggesting they can control the game. Despite Arka's home momentum and recent wins, Motor's pressing and compact block could stifle chances. The match hints at a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides show defensive solidity and a tendency for tight encounters.

  • Motor's superior overall strength and efficiency
  • Arka's home form offers some resilience
  • Defensive discipline may limit goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ARK 10 MOT
40%
Possession (%)
60%
17
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
5
15
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
18
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Arka Gdynia beat Motor Lublin 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.72 units (Brier 0.229).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.05 57% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.87 62% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Away Win 2.54 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.83 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.60 53% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.84 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.06 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.10 26% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.44 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 83% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.37 38% Cashed +2.37 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.89 26% Cashed +1.89 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 85% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.35 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.75 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.72u −4% ROI