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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lecce — Fiorentina

Prediction: Lecce vs Fiorentina, May 16

Italy   /   Serie A
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 16 May · 16:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
L L W D L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · FIO
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lecce
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 4 / 12
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.82 / 2.41
Fiorentina
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.79 / 1.16

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1.17
2
Goals Conceded
2.33
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
3.67
Shots on Target
5.17
4.50
Corners
4.33
41.67
Possession (%)
46.83
99.24
Efficiency index
91.21
76.50
Adjusted index
88.30
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
10
OFF · home
30
5
DEF · home
40
10
OFF · away
60
25
DEF · away
35
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Lecce wins when scoring first
100%
①
Fiorentina wins when scoring first
33%
⚽
Lecce BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Fiorentina BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Lecce Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Fiorentina Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Lecce comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Fiorentina comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Lecce · last 10 at home

0–15 40%
16–30 20%
31–45 10%
46–60 0%
61–75 20%
76–90 10%

Fiorentina · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 36%
31–45 14%
46–60 14%
61–75 14%
76–90 21%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

Tiago Gabriel
LEC · Defender
2 G · 0.75 g/90
L. Coulibaly
LEC · Midfielder
2 G · 0.40 g/90
Franco Mastantuono
FIO · Attacker
3 G · 0.58 g/90
Mateo Pellegrino
FIO · Attacker
2 G · 0.63 g/90