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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Fiorentina

Prediction: AC Milan vs Fiorentina, January 6

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 W D D W D
Kick-off
Wed 06 Jan · 17:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
L L W D L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · FIO
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
AC Milan
W/D/L 1-3-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-3-0
xG (for / against) 1.30 / 1.03
Fiorentina
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.79 / 1.16

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.83
Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Goals Conceded
2.33
1.33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
4.50
Shots on Target
5.17
3.17
Corners
4.33
60.33
Possession (%)
46.83
110.26
Efficiency index
91.21
135.83
Adjusted index
88.30
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
75
OFF · home
30
100
DEF · home
40
40
OFF · away
60
60
DEF · away
35
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
AC Milan wins when scoring first
57%
①
Fiorentina wins when scoring first
33%
⚽
AC Milan BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Fiorentina BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
AC Milan Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Fiorentina Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
AC Milan comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Fiorentina comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

AC Milan · last 10 at home

0–15 17%
16–30 0%
31–45 17%
46–60 17%
61–75 33%
76–90 17%

Fiorentina · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 36%
31–45 14%
46–60 14%
61–75 14%
76–90 21%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Diego Moreira
MIL · Midfielder
3 G · 2.13 g/90
A. Rabiot
MIL · Midfielder
2 G · 0.59 g/90
Franco Mastantuono
FIO · Attacker
3 G · 0.58 g/90
Mateo Pellegrino
FIO · Attacker
2 G · 0.63 g/90