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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Motor Lublin — GKS Katowice

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice 2:5: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Fri 17 Oct · 16:00
2:5
Full-time
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
D W D D D Away · last 5
Motor Lublin Arena · Lublin Referee Tomasz Kwiatkowski, Poland
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 74% · book 1.45 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 49% · book 2.38 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.20 ✗
Total goals
7
2 · 5
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
6 / 14
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.45 — +11.0% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Motor Lublin and GKS Katowice are set for a competitive clash. Motor Lublin's home advantage and slightly superior attacking profile suggest they might edge the encounter. However, GKS Katowice's solid defensive shape could keep the game tight. Expect a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals being a likely outcome.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.45 ✗ Lost
AI 45% Implied 41% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MOT 2 – 5 GKS
51%
Possession (%)
49%
21
Total Shots
14
9
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
4
15
Shots Inside Box
8
10
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
21
Fouls
14
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

GKS Katowice won 5–2 away at Motor Lublin. At half-time it was 2–2.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 14, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 6 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.97 units (Brier 0.248).

Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 6 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.45 — 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.38 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.20 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.45 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.48 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.68 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.88 — 26% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 55% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 — 74% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 — 50% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.62 — 51% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.76 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 8 L −3.97u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MOT – GKS @ 2.45
+11.0%
Edge
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