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Home Italy Serie A Lecce — Bologna

Preview Lecce vs Bologna October 11, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Italy   /   Serie A
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 16:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Bologna
Bologna
L Away · last 5
Home Win · LEC
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · BOL
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lecce
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.37 / 1.86
Bologna
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.08 / 0.96

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
2.21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
8
29
Possession (%)
59
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
60
DEF · home
80
80
OFF · away
20
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Lecce wins when scoring first
100%
Bologna wins when scoring first
100%
Lecce BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Bologna BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Lecce Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Bologna Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Lecce comeback rate · last 10
0%
Bologna comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Lecce · last 10 at home

0–15 43%
16–30 14%
31–45 14%
46–60 0%
61–75 14%
76–90 14%

Bologna · last 10 away

0–15 20%
16–30 20%
31–45 20%
46–60 13%
61–75 7%
76–90 20%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

Tiago Gabriel
LEC · Defender
1 G
Olaf Gorter
LEC · Midfielder
1 G