Lecce vs Bologna 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +12.7% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LEC 4-3-3 · BOL 3-4-2-1

LEC · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · BOL

7 Ahmed Fatah ⚽

Subs used · LEC

36'

Ngom ↑ ·

Ilić ↓

62'

Geubbels ↑ ·

Esteban ↓

62'

N'Dri ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

79'

Monteiro ↑ ·

Fatah ↓

79'

Gandelman ↑ ·

Maleh ↓

Subs used · BOL

55'

Helland ↑ ·

Heggem ↓

62'

Enem ↑ ·

Piccoli ↓

62'

Azzouzi ↑ ·

Pobega ↓

81'

Bernardeschi ↑ ·

Cambiaghi ↓

81'

Alhassane ↑ ·

Miranda ↓

Statistics

LEC 1 – 2 BOL

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.00

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.55

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 1 – 2

Ivan Ilić

Yellow Card

▮

10'

17'

⚽

Riccardo Orsolini

Assist · Nicolo Cambiaghi · 0–1

Paco Esteban

Yellow Card

▮

31'

Oumar Ngom ↓ · Ivan Ilić ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

36'

44'

▮

Torbjørn Heggem

Yellow Card

Youssef Maleh

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

Half-time · 0 – 1

55'

⇄

Eivind Helland ↓ · Torbjørn Heggem ↑

Substitution 1

Willem Geubbels ↓ · Paco Esteban ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

⇄

Jay Enem ↓ · Roberto Piccoli ↑

Substitution 2

Konan N'Dri ↓ · Santiago Pierotti ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

62'

⇄

Oussama El Azzouzi ↓ · Tommaso Pobega ↑

Substitution 3

Amar Fatah

Assist · Danilo Veiga · 1–1

⚽

64'

75'

⚽

Jay Enem

Assist · Nicolo Cambiaghi · 1–2

Joel Almada Monteiro ↓ · Amar Fatah ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

Omri Gandelman ↓ · Youssef Maleh ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

81'

⇄

Federico Bernardeschi ↓ · Nicolo Cambiaghi ↑

Substitution 4

81'

⇄

Rahim Alhassane ↓ · Juan Miranda ↑

Substitution 5

90+4'

▮

Oussama El Azzouzi

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Bologna won 2–1 away at Lecce. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.55 to 1.00. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Riccardo Orsolini (17'), Amar Fatah (64'), Jay Enem (75').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.03 units (Brier 0.190).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.93	1.84	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.80	1.73	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.88	1.78	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.91	2.02	42%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.81	1.90	42%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.00	2.10	37%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	4.00	4.05	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.34	3.10	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	9.01	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	1.25	82%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.09	2.92	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.22	1.23	68%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.41	1.43	42%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.05	86%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.40	3.25	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	1.36	62%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.37	3.80	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.03u	−30% ROI

Lecce vs Bologna 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled