Napoli vs Frosinone 3:0: Match Review & Stats
Napoli
Home · last 5
L
L
W
D
W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 18:45
3:0
Full-time
Maradona Stadium · Naples
Referee Ermanno Feliciani
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 43% · book 2.78
✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.70
✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.55
✗
xG (open play)
3.17 – 1.03
Δ +2.14
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks AH Away 0 at 5.18 — +14.6% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0
AH Away 0 @ 5.18
✗ Lost
AI 22%
Implied 19%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
NAP 3-4-2-1 · FRO 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
NAP 3
– 0 FRO
3.17
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.03
⏱ Match events
15 · 3 – 0
Kevin De Bruyne (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
29'
45'
⇄
Aleksa Terzić ↓ · Patrizio Masini ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 0
Scott McTominay ↓ · David Neres ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
Lorenzo Lucca ↓ · Rasmus Hojlund ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
63'
⇄
Seydou Fini ↓ · Farès Ghedjemis ↑
Substitution 2
63'
⇄
Tomas Bobcek ↓ · Antonio Raimondo ↑
Substitution 3
Billy Gilmour ↓ · Stanislav Lobotka ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
Giovane Santana Do Nascimento ↓ · Noa Lang ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
76'
⇄
Matteo Cichella ↓ · Gabriele Bracaglia ↑
Substitution 4
Amir Rrahmani
Yellow Card
▮
80'
Matteo Politano ↓ · Leonardo Spinazzola ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
83'
⇄
Alessio Zerbin ↓ · Romano Schmid ↑
Substitution 5
Benoît Badiashile
Yellow Card
▮
85'
Kevin De Bruyne
Assist · Giovane Santana Do Nascimento · 3–0
⚽
90+4'
Full-time · 3 – 0
Match recap
Napoli beat Frosinone 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.17 to 1.03. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.
On the scoresheet: Kevin De Bruyne (29'), Noa Lang (32'), Kevin De Bruyne (90+4').
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.83 units (Brier 0.123).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.78 |
2.62 |
43% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.70 |
1.73 |
62% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.55 |
2.75 |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.63 |
1.56 |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.19 |
2.31 |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.19 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.26 |
2.10 |
38% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
6.63 |
6.49 |
22% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
5.18 |
4.83 |
22% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.12 |
1.11 |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.12 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.45 |
1.40 |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.45 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.43 |
1.47 |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.43 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
5.38 |
5.99 |
19% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.02 |
1.01 |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.02 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.00 |
20.83 |
6% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.50 |
4.63 |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.12 |
1.10 |
81% |
Cashed |
+0.12 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.14 |
1.16 |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.14 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−5.83u |
−34% ROI |
