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Home › Italy › Serie A › Frosinone — Como

Frosinone vs Como 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Frosinone
Frosinone
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 13:00
2:0
Full-time
Como
Como
W W W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Benito Stirpe · Frosinone Referee Daniele Chiffi, Italy
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 46% · book 2.39 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.60 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.14 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.96 – 2.20
Δ −0.24
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.39 — +9.7% better than the market.

Frosinone hosts Como in a Serie A clash where both sides show similar form and points per game, suggesting a balanced contest. The home side’s recent momentum is tempered by Como’s slightly better scoring potential, hinting at a tactical battle. Expect a moderate tempo with chances on both ends, as the odds lean towards a competitive match with a slight edge to the visitors.

  • Home momentum vs away scoring threat
  • Balanced form and points per game
  • Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.39 ✓ Cashed
AI 46% Implied 42% +1.39u
+139%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FRO 4-2-3-1 · COM 4-2-3-1
FRO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · COM 22 Palmisani 20 Oyono 3 Calvani 30 Monterisi 79 Bracaglia 73 Masini 14 Calò ⚽ 7 Ghedjemis 10 Schmid 17 Kvernadze ⚽ 9 Raimondo 1 Butez 27 Couto 4 Ramón 99 Chalobah 3 Valle 6 Milla 7 Cunha 11 Diao 10 Paz 20 Baturina 9 Douvikas
Subs used · FRO
53' Cittadini ↑ · Monterisi ↓
79' Cichella ↑ · Calo ↓
80' Zerbin ↑ · Kvernadze ↓
88' Amey ↑ · Ghedjemis ↓
88' El Azzouzi ↑ · Schmid ↓
Subs used · COM
46' Ricci ↑ · Da Cunha ↓
46' Kean ↑ · Douvikas ↓
46' Rodriguez ↑ · Baturina ↓
73' Perrone ↑ · Milla ↓
73' Kaiki ↑ · Valle ↓

Statistics

FRO 2 – 0 COM
35%
Possession (%)
65%
1.96
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.20
22
Total Shots
27
6
Shots on Target
8
14
Shots off Target
11
15
Shots Inside Box
16
7
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
6
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
2
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 2 – 0
G. Calo
Assist · R. Schmid · 1–0
⚽
14'
34'
▮
Y. Couto
Yellow Card
G. Kvernadze
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
S. Ricci ↓ · L. Da Cunha ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
M. Kean ↓ · A. Douvikas ↑
Substitution 2
46'
⇄
J. Rodriguez ↓ · M. Baturina ↑
Substitution 3
G. Kvernadze
Assist · R. Schmid · 2–0
⚽
45+3'
G. Cittadini ↓ · I. Monterisi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
53'
G. Bracaglia
Yellow Card
▮
56'
73'
⇄
M. Perrone ↓ · L. Milla ↑
Substitution 4
73'
⇄
Kaiki ↓ · A. Valle ↑
Substitution 5
M. Cichella ↓ · G. Calo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
79'
A. Zerbin ↓ · G. Kvernadze ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
W. Amey ↓ · F. Ghedjemis ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
A. El Azzouzi ↓ · R. Schmid ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
A. Raimondo
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
90+5'
▮
A. Diao
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Frosinone beat Como 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 22, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Calo (14'), G. Kvernadze (45+3').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.73 units (Brier 0.262).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.39 2.50 46% Cashed +1.39 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.60 2.63 40% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 2.38 44% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 1.54 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.44 1.44 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.10 2.15 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.63 5.99 23% Cashed +4.63 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.65 1.73 64% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.15 1.13 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.56 1.50 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.48 5.49 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 18.87 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.20 4.41 23% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.05 4.55 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.10 1.13 81% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.20 1.18 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +3.73u +22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
FRO – COM @ 2.39
+9.7%
Edge
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