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Home › Italy › Serie A › Bologna — Torino

Bologna vs Torino 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D L D W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Torino
Torino
L L W L D Away · last 5
Referee M. Guida
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.87 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.80 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.00 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.58 – 0.87
Δ −0.29
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.00 — +11.3% better than the market.

Bologna hosts Torino in a Serie A clash where Torino shows a slight edge in recent form and points per game, suggesting better momentum. Bologna’s home advantage is modest, but their defensive resilience could challenge Torino’s attack, which has been inconsistent. The match hints at a balanced tempo with a moderate goal expectation, likely favoring a tight contest with few clear-cut chances.

  • Bologna’s compact defense vs Torino’s variable offense
  • Torino’s recent form advantage
  • Moderate pace and goal environment

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.00 ✗ Lost
AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BOL 3-4-3 · TOR 3-5-2
BOL · 3-4-3 3-5-2 · TOR 1 Skorupski 5 Helland 14 Heggem 3 Theate 20 Zortea 19 Ferguson 4 Pobega 33 Miranda 10 Bernardeschi ⚽ 91 Piccoli 28 Cambiaghi 20 Perri 23 Coco 44 Ismajli 5 Cömert 29 Fortini 21 Bragança 8 Mandragora 28 Fitz-Jim 77 Cacciamani 10 Vlašić 18 Simeone
Subs used · BOL
58' Odgaard ↑ · Cambiaghi ↓
58' De Silvestri ↑ · Fauske Helland ↓
76' Orsolini ↑ · Bernardeschi ↓
77' Moro ↑ · Pobega ↓
84' Holm ↑ · Zortea ↓
Subs used · TOR
46' Patterson ↑ · Fortini ↓
55' Kulenovic ↑ · Fitz-Jim ↓
68' Belghali ↑ · Comert ↓
68' Oristanio ↑ · Vlasic ↓
68' Ilkhan ↑ · Braganca ↓

Statistics

BOL 1 – 1 TOR
40%
Possession (%)
60%
0.58
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.87
11
Total Shots
14
1
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
8
8
Shots Inside Box
6
1
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
12
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
0
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
F. Bernardeschi
1–0
⚽
14'
30'
▮
D. Braganca
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
N. Patterson ↓ · N. Fortini ↑
Substitution 1
55'
⇄
S. Kulenovic ↓ · K. Fitz-Jim ↑
Substitution 2
J. Odgaard ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
L. De Silvestri ↓ · E. Fauske Helland ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
68'
⇄
R. Belghali ↓ · E. Comert ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⇄
G. Oristanio ↓ · N. Vlasic ↑
Substitution 4
68'
⇄
E. Ilkhan ↓ · D. Braganca ↑
Substitution 5
74'
▮
R. Belghali
Yellow Card
R. Orsolini ↓ · F. Bernardeschi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
N. Moro ↓ · T. Pobega ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
77'
⚽
S. Kulenovic
Assist · R. Mandragora · 1–1
78'
▮
N. Patterson
Yellow Card
E. Holm ↓ · N. Zortea ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Bologna and Torino drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Bernardeschi (14'), S. Kulenovic (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.16 units (Brier 0.156).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.87 1.84 54% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.80 1.76 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 2.10 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.81 1.91 52% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 1.88 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.91 1.93 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.00 4.10 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 1.22 72% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.97 3.07 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.43 1.41 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.05 91% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.29 1.28 73% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 1.33 73% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.43 3.75 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 3.40 26% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 9.01 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.16u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
BOL – TOR @ 4.00
+11.3%
Edge
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