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Home › Italy › Serie A › Udinese — Cagliari

Udinese vs Cagliari 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Udinese
Udinese
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
L W W W D Away · last 5
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli · Udine Referee G. Manganiello
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 56% · book 1.75 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.30 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.92 – 1.12
Δ +0.80
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.90 — +9.7% better than the market.

Udinese hosts Cagliari in a Serie A clash where the away side shows better recent form and higher points per game, suggesting a momentum edge. Udinese's home advantage is moderate but may be offset by Cagliari's sharper attack and more consistent results. The match hints at a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals favored, reflecting solid defensive setups and a compact midfield battle.

  • Cagliari's recent winning streak contrasts with Udinese's struggles.
  • Home side's moderate edge may be neutralized by away side's attacking threat.
  • Expect tactical discipline and a controlled pace.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.90 ✓ Cashed
AI 28% Implied 26% +2.90u
+290%
ROI on stake

Lineups

UDI 3-4-2-1 · CAG 4-3-1-2
UDI · 3-4-2-1 4-3-1-2 · CAG 40 Okoye 77 Ebosse 27 Kabasele 14 Abankwah 23 Vojvoda 38 Miller 8 Karlström 11 Kamara 10 Zaniolo 32 Ekkelenkamp 9 Davis 1 Caprile 2 Pedro 26 Mina 15 Rodríguez 33 Obert 4 Romano 6 Winks 14 Deiola 8 Adopo 70 Maldini ⚽ 31 Mendy
Subs used · UDI
37' Gueye ↑ · Davis ↓
46' Chakvetadze ↑ · Zaniolo ↓
57' Gomez ↑ · Miller ↓
71' Zanoli ↑ · Kamara ↓
71' Bayo ↑ · Kabasele ↓
Subs used · CAG
59' Sugawara ↑ · Rodriguez ↓
59' Kevin ↑ · Maldini ↓
85' Gagliardini ↑ · Romano ↓
85' Fadera ↑ · Mendy ↓

Statistics

UDI 0 – 1 CAG
65%
Possession (%)
35%
1.92
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
26
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Target
2
14
Shots off Target
2
17
Shots Inside Box
3
16
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
8
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

12 · 0 – 1
N. Zaniolo
Yellow Card
▮
4'
J. Karlstrom
Yellow Card
▮
22'
I. Gueye ↓ · K. Davis ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
37'
Half-time · 0 – 0
G. Chakvetadze ↓ · N. Zaniolo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
54'
⚽
D. Maldini
0–1
U. Gomez ↓ · L. Miller ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
57'
59'
⇄
Y. Sugawara ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
Kevin ↓ · D. Maldini ↑
Substitution 2
A. Zanoli ↓ · H. Kamara ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
V. Bayo ↓ · C. Kabasele ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
71'
85'
⇄
R. Gagliardini ↓ · A. Romano ↑
Substitution 3
85'
⇄
A. Fadera ↓ · P. Mendy ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Cagliari won 1–0 away at Udinese. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.92 to 1.12. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 5, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 16 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: D. Maldini (54').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.56 units (Brier 0.247).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.75 1.63 56% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.30 2.10 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 1.80 58% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 1.93 1.95 52% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.97 1.80 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.25 3.25 32% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Home Win 2.28 2.25 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.68 2.38 28% Cashed +1.68 Cashed
Away Win 3.90 3.32 28% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.43 1.33 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 1.33 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.51 1.62 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.20 1.26 79% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 1.06 89% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 3.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.23 3.28 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 9.01 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.56u +3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
UDI – CAG @ 3.90
+9.7%
Edge
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