Inter vs Udinese 5:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.75 — +4.0% better than the market.

Inter Looks to Extend Home Momentum

Inter enters this Serie A clash with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent record and higher points per game than Udinese. Their attacking edge combined with Udinese's inconsistent form suggests Inter can control the tempo and create chances. Expect a match leaning towards goals given the moderate over 2.5 odds and both teams' ability to find the net in recent meetings.

Inter's home form and offensive pressure
Udinese's defensive vulnerabilities
Potential for open play and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.75 ✗ Lost

AI 38% Implied 36% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · UDI 3-4-2-1

INT · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · UDI

94 Esposito ⚽

Subs used · INT

62'

Pavard ↑ ·

Stones ↓

62'

Jones ↑ ·

Mkhitaryan ↓

70'

Bonny ↑ ·

Thuram ↓

70'

Dimarco ↑ ·

Bastoni ↓

82'

Stankovic ↑ ·

Zielinski ↓

Subs used · UDI

61'

Gueye ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

73'

Chakvetadze ↑ ·

Miller ↓

74'

Bertola ↑ ·

Vojvoda ↓

80'

Bayo ↑ ·

Davis ↓

80'

Lovric ↑ ·

Ekkelenkamp ↓

Statistics

INT 5 – 3 UDI

66%

Possession (%)

34%

3.11

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

93%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 5 – 3

⚽

J. Abankwah

Assist · U. Gomez · 0–1

16'

⚽

J. Ekkelenkamp

Assist · K. Davis · 0–2

Carlos Augusto

1–2

⚽

26'

N. Barella

Assist · M. Thuram · 2–2

⚽

35'

45'

▮

K. Davis

Yellow Card

Half-time · 2 – 2

M. Thuram

Assist · A. Diouf · 3–2

⚽

57'

H. Mkhitaryan

Yellow Card

▮

60'

61'

⇄

I. Gueye ↓ · U. Gomez ↑

Substitution 1

B. Pavard ↓ · J. Stones ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

C. Jones ↓ · H. Mkhitaryan ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

F. Esposito

Assist · P. Zielinski · 4–2

⚽

67'

A. Bonny ↓ · M. Thuram ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

F. Dimarco ↓ · A. Bastoni ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

73'

⇄

G. Chakvetadze ↓ · L. Miller ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

N. Bertola ↓ · M. Vojvoda ↑

Substitution 3

A. Bonny

5–2

⚽

79'

80'

⇄

V. Bayo ↓ · K. Davis ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

S. Lovric ↓ · J. Ekkelenkamp ↑

Substitution 5

A. Stankovic ↓ · P. Zielinski ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

90'

⚽

I. Gueye

Assist · V. Bayo · 5–3

Full-time · 5 – 3

Match recap

Inter beat Udinese 5–3 at home. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 93% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.11 to 0.90. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 6, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 3.11 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: J. Abankwah (9'), J. Ekkelenkamp (16'), Carlos Augusto (26'), N. Barella (35'), M. Thuram (57'), F. Esposito (67'), A. Bonny (79'), I. Gueye (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.03 units (Brier 0.115).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.97	1.93	52%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.75	3.00	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.10	2.00	41%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS No	1.75	1.81	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	10.50	14.29	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.33	4.33	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.65	1.80	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.44	1.40	62%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.06	1.03	86%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.20	1.20	70%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.08	1.06	66%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	5.13	6.49	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.75	8.33	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.75	5.99	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.10	1.09	83%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	18.87	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.03u	−35% ROI

Inter vs Udinese 5:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Inter Looks to Extend Home Momentum

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled