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Home › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Bologna

Napoli vs Bologna 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 L L W D W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D L D W Away · last 5
Referee Kevin Bonacina, Italy
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 1.88 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 1.76 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.81 – 0.25
Δ +1.56
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where recent form suggests a tight contest. Napoli’s home momentum is slightly dented by recent losses, while Bologna shows resilience despite mixed results. The balanced expected goals hint at a cautious game with tactical discipline on both sides.

  • Napoli’s pressing edge at home could test Bologna’s defense.
  • Bologna’s compact block may limit clear chances.
  • Odds suggest a moderate pace with under 2.5 goals likely.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAP 4-3-3 · BOL 4-3-3
NAP · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · BOL 32 Milinković-Savić 22 Lorenzo 13 Rrahmani 16 Marín 37 Spinazzola 6 Gilmour 68 Lobotka ⚽ 11 Bruyne 21 Politano 19 Højlund 26 Vergara 25 Pessina 2 Holm 14 Heggem 3 Theate 33 Miranda 4 Pobega 19 Ferguson 8 Amondarain 10 Bernardeschi 91 Piccoli 28 Cambiaghi
Subs used · NAP
46' Lang ↑ · Vergara ↓
46' Favasuli ↑ · Politano ↓
75' Lucca ↑ · Hojlund ↓
88' Olivera ↑ · De Bruyne ↓
Subs used · BOL
58' Libra ↑ · Pobega ↓
58' Odgaard ↑ · Piccoli ↓
66' Moro ↑ · Amondarain ↓
82' Mbangula ↑ · Cambiaghi ↓
82' Enem ↑ · Bernardeschi ↓

Statistics

NAP 1 – 0 BOL
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.81
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.25
15
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
2
10
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
10
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

11 · 1 – 0
31'
▮
M. Amondarain
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
N. Lang ↓ · A. Vergara ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
C. Favasuli ↓ · M. Politano ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
58'
⇄
M. Libra ↓ · T. Pobega ↑
Substitution 1
58'
⇄
J. Odgaard ↓ · R. Piccoli ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
N. Moro ↓ · M. Amondarain ↑
Substitution 3
S. Lobotka
Assist · C. Favasuli · 1–0
⚽
66'
L. Lucca ↓ · R. Hojlund ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
82'
⇄
S. Mbangula ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
J. Enem ↓ · F. Bernardeschi ↑
Substitution 5
M. Olivera ↓ · K. De Bruyne ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Napoli beat Bologna 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 0.25. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 5, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 0.

On the scoresheet: S. Lobotka (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.41 units (Brier 0.186).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.88 1.88 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 1.91 52% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 1.76 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 1.91 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.98 1.98 48% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Home Win 1.72 1.85 50% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Away Win 5.00 4.27 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.13 3.60 30% Cashed +2.13 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 1.22 75% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.26 1.30 76% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.34 1.26 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 90% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.65 3.55 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.72 3.19 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.51 3.19 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.39 1.39 47% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.41u −20% ROI