Como vs Parma 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away 0 at 7.15 — +10.5% better than the market.

Como arrives with stronger recent form and clear home momentum, having collected more points per game lately than Parma. The home side’s compact defense and efficient attack could exploit Parma’s struggles, especially given the visitors’ low scoring trend. Expect a cautious tempo with a leaning towards under 2.5 goals, as both teams have shown solidity at the back in past encounters.

Como’s home edge in form and confidence
Parma’s difficulty in breaking down defenses
Likely controlled pace favoring fewer goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0

AH Away 0 @ 7.15 ✗ Lost

AI 15% Implied 14% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Statistics

COM 2 – 1 PAR

64%

Possession (%)

36%

3.24

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.23

28

Total Shots

12

7

Shots on Target

4

9

Shots off Target

7

24

Shots Inside Box

7

11

Corner Kicks

4

Offsides

2

8

Fouls

4

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

1

Yellow Cards

0

3

Goalkeeper Saves

5

Match events

14 · 2 – 1

J. Ramon

Assist · N. Paz · 1–0

⚽

23'

Half-time · 1 – 0

M. Caqueret ↓ · M. Baturina ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

55'

J. Rodriguez ↓ · A. Diao ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

55'

⇄

M. Frigan ↓ · E. B. Toure ↑

Substitution 1

A. Douvikas ↓ · M. Kean ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

⇄

D. Romero ↓ · N. Elphege ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

A. Bernabe ↓ · V. Sierro ↑

Substitution 3

M. Caqueret

Yellow Card

▮

76'

80'

⇄

G. Fabbian ↓ · S. Lontani ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

P. Almqvist ↓ · S. Britschgi ↑

Substitution 5

S. Ricci ↓ · N. Paz ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

L. Milla ↓ · L. Da Cunha ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

Kaiki

Assist · M. Perrone · 2–0

⚽

83'

90+2'

⚽

D. Romero

Assist · P. Almqvist · 2–1

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Como beat Parma 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.24 to 1.23. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: J. Ramon (23'), Kaiki (83'), D. Romero (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.97 units (Brier 0.154).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.38	2.38	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.73	1.62	45%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.29	2.22	31%	Cashed	+1.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.73	2.50	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.30	13.51	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.56	1.59	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	1.50	76%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.17	4.50	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.88	4.13	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.15	7.25	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	1.04	85%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.26	1.22	66%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.07	1.07	66%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	5.50	6.25	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	1.20	67%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.97u	−33% ROI

Como vs Parma 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled