Match Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin October 5, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

Raków vs Motor — betting preview

The hosts are priced as clear favourites thanks to home edge and a steadier attacking pattern, but Motor’s away threat in transition keeps the upset live. Expect Raków to have more of the ball and territory, with game state swinging totals: an early home goal can open it up, while a longer stalemate points to a tighter scoreline.

Our numbers tilt slightly toward unders versus the market and keep the away-positive angles (X2, away win) on the radar at current prices.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

RAK 3-4-3 · MOT 4-1-4-1

RAK · 3-4-3 4-1-4-1 · MOT

8 Pieńko

📊 Statistics

RAK 2 – 0 MOT

53%

Possession (%)

47%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Raków Częstochowa beat Motor Lublin 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 5, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -2.06 units (Brier 0.142).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	7.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.70	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	48%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	83%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.52	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.52	—	60%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	3 W · 4 L	−2.06u	−29% ROI