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Home › Italy › Serie A › Udinese — Lazio

Udinese vs Lazio 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Udinese
Udinese
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Mon 07 Sep · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
W W D W W Away · last 5
Referee P. Tremolada
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.50 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 48% · book 1.97 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 36% · book 2.59 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.50 — +14.9% better than the market.

Udinese hosts Lazio in a Serie A clash where Lazio's recent winning momentum contrasts with Udinese's mixed form. Lazio's higher points per game and recent wins suggest an edge, but Udinese's home resilience and past tight encounters hint at a competitive match. The moderate odds for over 2.5 goals suggest a balanced pace, with both sides capable of creating chances.

  • Udinese's home compactness may limit Lazio's attacking flow.
  • Lazio's form and goal threat could pressure the hosts.
  • Previous draws indicate a tactical, cautious battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 2.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 46% Implied 40% +1.50u
+150%
ROI on stake

Lineups

UDI 3-4-2-1 · LAZ 4-3-3
Subs used · UDI
15' Miller ↑ · Piotrowski ↓
38' Kabasele ↑ · Solet ↓
45' Bayo ↑ · Gómez ↓
76' Zarraga ↑ · Davis ↓
76' Bertola ↑ · Abankwah ↓
Subs used · LAZ
53' Noslin ↑ · Pinamonti ↓
53' Cancellieri ↑ · Isaksen ↓
80' Gudmundsson ↑ · Frattesi ↓
90+1' Pedraza ↑ · Zaccagni ↓

Statistics

UDI 1 – 2 LAZ
40%
Possession (%)
60%
10
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots off Target
7
6
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
9
5
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

18 · 1 – 2
Jakub Piotrowski
Yellow Card
▮
13'
Lennon Miller ↓ · Jakub Piotrowski ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
15'
Lennon Miller
Yellow Card
▮
23'
25'
▮
Gustav Isaksen
Yellow Card
Christian Kabasele ↓ · Oumar Solet ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
38'
Vakoun Bayo ↓ · Unai Gómez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
45'
Jesper Karlstrom
Yellow Card
▮
45+3'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Jesper Karlstrom
Assist · Keinan Davis · 1–0
⚽
49'
53'
⇄
Tijjani Noslin ↓ · Andrea Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 1
53'
⇄
Matteo Cancellieri ↓ · Gustav Isaksen ↑
Substitution 2
Vakoun Bayo
Yellow Card
▮
67'
75'
⚽
Davide Frattesi
Assist · Mattia Zaccagni · 1–1
Oier Zarraga ↓ · Keinan Davis ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
Nicolo Bertola ↓ · James Abankwah ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
76'
80'
⇄
Albert Gudmundsson ↓ · Davide Frattesi ↑
Substitution 3
Nicolo Bertola
Yellow Card
▮
84'
88'
⚽
Albert Gudmundsson
Assist · Danilho Doekhi · 1–2
90+1'
⇄
Alfonso Pedraza ↓ · Mattia Zaccagni ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Lazio won 2–1 away at Udinese. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Jesper Karlstrom (49'), Davide Frattesi (75'), Albert Gudmundsson (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.01 units (Brier 0.184).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.50 — 46% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.97 — 48% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Away Win 2.59 — 36% Cashed +1.59 Cashed
BTTS No 1.75 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.66 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.04 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.86 — 36% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.47 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 65% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.53 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.44 — 71% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Home Win 2.84 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.05 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.57 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 90% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.18 — 74% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.01u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
UDI – LAZ @ 2.50
+14.9%
Edge
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