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Home › Italy › Serie A › Cagliari — Inter

Cagliari vs Inter 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cagliari
Cagliari
Home · last 5 L W W W D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Inter
Inter
W W W D W Away · last 5
Unipol Domus · Cagliari Referee M. Fabbri
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.73 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 40% · book 2.73 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 2.03 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.45 – 3.80
Δ −3.35
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.73 — +9.1% better than the market.

Inter arrives at Unipol Domus with clear momentum, having won their last match and maintaining a strong points-per-game average. Despite limited data on Cagliari's current form, Inter's consistent away strength and recent head-to-head dominance suggest they hold the upper hand. The balanced odds on over 2.5 goals hint at an open game with attacking intent from both sides.

  • Inter's away resilience and attacking threat
  • Cagliari's home challenge with recent win
  • Potential for a lively, goal-filled encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.73 ✗ Lost
AI 40% Implied 37% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CAG 4-2-3-1 · INT 3-5-2
CAG · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · INT 1 Caprile 2 Pedro 14 Deiola 15 Rodríguez 33 Obert 4 Romano 6 Winks 8 Adopo 10 Fazzini 70 Maldini 31 Mendy 1 Martínez 28 Pavard 25 Akanji 95 Bastoni 11 Henrique 23 Barella 20 Çalhanoğlu ⚽ 8 Sučić 32 Dimarco 10 Martínez 94 Esposito
Subs used · CAG
57' Fadera ↑ · Fazzini ↓
57' Kofler ↑ · Winks ↓
57' Kevin ↑ · Mendy ↓
78' Borrelli ↑ · Maldini ↓
83' Ciervo ↑ · Deiola ↓
Subs used · INT
65' Thuram ↑ · Esposito ↓
65' Zielinski ↑ · Calhanoglu ↓
65' Jones ↑ · Sucic ↓
68' Stones ↑ · Akanji ↓
81' Bisseck ↑ · Henrique ↓

Statistics

CAG 0 – 1 INT
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.80
10
Total Shots
30
0
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
17
5
Shots Inside Box
24
8
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
5
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
2
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

14 · 0 – 1
9'
⚽
H. Calhanoglu
Assist · N. Barella · 0–1
14'
▮
M. Akanji
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
A. Deiola
Yellow Card
▮
56'
A. Fadera ↓ · J. Fazzini ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
R. Kofler ↓ · H. Winks ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
57'
Kevin ↓ · P. Mendy ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
57'
65'
⇄
M. Thuram ↓ · F. Esposito ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
P. Zielinski ↓ · H. Calhanoglu ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
C. Jones ↓ · P. Sucic ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⇄
J. Stones ↓ · M. Akanji ↑
Substitution 4
G. Borrelli ↓ · D. Maldini ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
81'
⇄
Y. Bisseck ↓ · Luis Henrique ↑
Substitution 5
R. Ciervo ↓ · A. Deiola ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
Kevin
Yellow Card
▮
88'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Inter won 1–0 away at Cagliari. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.80 to 0.45. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 10, 7 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Calhanoglu (9').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.82 units (Brier 0.226).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.73 1.73 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.73 2.88 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.03 1.93 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.73 1.82 49% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.91 2.10 42% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 7.73 7.75 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.44 1.40 60% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.77 2.77 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.10 1.08 82% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.12 1.12 60% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 1.22 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.68 5.78 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.30 4.67 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.32 1.40 64% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.56 4.20 21% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −2.82u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
CAG – INT @ 2.73
+9.1%
Edge
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