P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A Cagliari — Inter

Preview Cagliari vs Inter August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cagliari
Cagliari
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Inter
Inter
W Away · last 5
Unipol Domus · Cagliari
Home Win · CAG
18%
Best 8.50
Draw
22%
Best 4.54
Away Win · INT
60%
Best 1.49

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Inter to win — 60% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Inter arrives at Unipol Domus with clear momentum, having won their last match and maintaining a strong points-per-game average. Despite limited data on Cagliari's current form, Inter's consistent away strength and recent head-to-head dominance suggest they hold the upper hand. The balanced odds on over 2.5 goals hint at an open game with attacking intent from both sides.

  • Inter's away resilience and attacking threat
  • Cagliari's home challenge with recent win
  • Potential for a lively, goal-filled encounter

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 60% Inter win
Over/Under 2.5 58% Over 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 82% X2
  • 1X2 Inter win 60%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance X2 82%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Home Win · 6.84 ↑ 7.50 (+10%)
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Cagliari
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 4
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.52 / 1.25
Inter
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 13 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.74 / 0.86

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
4
0
Goals Conceded
1
0.74
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
3
Shots on Target
5
1
Corners
3
51
Possession (%)
71
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
50
DEF · home
60
30
OFF · away
70
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Cagliari wins when scoring first
75%
Inter wins when scoring first
63%
Cagliari BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Inter BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Cagliari Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Inter Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Cagliari comeback rate · last 10
0%
Inter comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Cagliari · last 10 at home

0–15 17%
16–30 0%
31–45 33%
46–60 17%
61–75 17%
76–90 17%

Inter · last 10 away

0–15 13%
16–30 22%
31–45 13%
46–60 17%
61–75 17%
76–90 17%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

A. Romano
CAG · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90
F. Esposito
INT · Attacker
1 G · 1.00 g/90
H. Çalhanoğlu
INT · Midfielder
1 G