🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 70% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 64%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Lazio enters this Serie A clash with clear home momentum, having won their last game while Genoa are struggling after a recent loss. The home side's solid form and pressing edge could challenge Genoa's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Expect a tactical battle with a tendency towards a compact block from Genoa, aiming to frustrate Lazio's attacking attempts.
- Home momentum favors Lazio's confidence
- Genoa likely to deploy a compact defensive setup
- Moderate pace suggested by odds hints at a controlled tempo
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | Lazio win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 70% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 64% | No |
| Double Chance | 72% | 1X |
- 1X2 Lazio win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70%
- BTTS No 64%
- Double Chance 1X 72%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lazio
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
5 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
xG (for / against)
0.76 / 1.22
Genoa
W/D/L
0-2-3
Goals (for / against)
1 / 5
Avg goals / match
1.2
Scored in
1/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
xG (for / against)
0.76 / 1.21
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Lazio wins when scoring first
100%
①
Genoa wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Lazio BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Genoa BTTS rate · last 10
30%
↑
Lazio Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Genoa Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
Lazio comeback rate · last 10
20%
↩
Genoa comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Lazio · last 10 at home
0–15
7%
16–30
7%
31–45
14%
46–60
21%
61–75
7%
76–90
43%
Genoa · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
17%
46–60
17%
61–75
50%
76–90
17%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
