🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams not to score — 59% probability.
Also rated highly: Under 2.5 goals 57%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Fiorentina and Frosinone both enter this Serie A clash on the back of recent losses, suggesting a cautious start. The home side's historical dominance and slight home edge hint at a controlled tempo, likely favoring a compact defensive setup. Expect a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances, as both teams seek to stabilize early in the season.
- Fiorentina's home momentum and past strong results against Frosinone
- Both sides showing recent form struggles, indicating a tight contest
- Odds suggest a moderate pace with under 2.5 goals likely
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 51% | Fiorentina win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 57% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 59% | No |
| Double Chance | 75% | 1X |
- 1X2 Fiorentina win 51%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57%
- BTTS No 59%
- Double Chance 1X 75%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Fiorentina
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
3 / 9
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.54 / 1.80
Frosinone
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
1 / 7
Avg goals / match
1.6
Scored in
1/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
0/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.18 / 1.18
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Fiorentina wins when scoring first
60%
①
Frosinone wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Fiorentina BTTS rate · last 10
30%
⚽
Frosinone BTTS rate · last 10
20%
↑
Fiorentina Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
↑
Frosinone Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
Fiorentina comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Frosinone comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Fiorentina · last 10 at home
0–15
13%
16–30
13%
31–45
13%
46–60
25%
61–75
25%
76–90
13%
Frosinone · last 10 away
0–15
25%
16–30
13%
31–45
13%
46–60
25%
61–75
25%
76–90
0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.