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Sassuolo vs Torino 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 W D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Torino
Torino
L W L D W Away · last 5
Referee D. Di Marco
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 2.00 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 60% · book 1.66 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.76 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.12 – 1.15
Δ −0.03
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.00 — +11.1% better than the market.

Sassuolo and Torino both enter this Serie A clash on the back of recent losses, signaling a need to regain momentum. Torino's slightly better recent form and away resilience may challenge Sassuolo's home efforts, though the home side's familiarity with their pitch could balance the scales. Expect a tactical battle with moderate tempo, where set-piece opportunities and defensive organization might prove decisive.

  • Both teams seek to bounce back from defeats
  • Home advantage offers Sassuolo a pressing edge
  • Moderate pace likely with focus on compact defensive blocks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed
AI 56% Implied 50% +1.00u
+100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAS 2 – 1 TOR
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.12
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.15
19
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
9
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
23'
▮
Gvidas Gineitis
Yellow Card
Cristian Volpato
Assist · Vasilije Adzic · 1–0
⚽
32'
Nemanja Matić
Yellow Card
▮
40'
45+2'
⚽
Pietro Comuzzo
Assist · Alessio Cacciamani · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
Cristian Volpato
Yellow Card
▮
47'
Kristian Thorstvedt ↓ · Vasilije Adzic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
Benjamin Dominguez ↓ · Cristian Volpato ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
Rafael Obrador ↓ · Josh Doig ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
61'
67'
⇄
Emirhan İlkhan ↓ · Gvidas Gineitis ↑
Substitution 1
67'
⇄
Ardian Ismajli ↓ · Eray Cömert ↑
Substitution 2
Armand Lauriente
Yellow Card
▮
70'
Domenico Berardi ↓ · Kieron Bowie ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
73'
⇄
Sandro Kulenović ↓ · Giovanni Simeone ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ · Niccolo Fortini ↑
Substitution 4
Domenico Berardi
Assist · Fedde Leysen · 2–1
⚽
78'
83'
⇄
Duván Zapata ↓ · Che Adams ↑
Substitution 5
Luca Lipani ↓ · Nemanja Matić ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Cristian Volpato (32'), Pietro Comuzzo (45+2'), Domenico Berardi (78').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.40 units (Brier 0.153).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.00 2.05 56% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.66 1.63 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.76 1.75 55% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Home Win 2.23 2.27 40% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
BTTS No 1.98 2.00 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 1.80 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.40 2.35 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.62 1.63 40% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.47 3.50 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.33 3.30 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 1.33 68% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 1.30 78% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.33 3.28 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 1.29 66% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.31 3.25 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 9.01 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.40u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
SAS – TOR @ 2.00
+11.1%
Edge
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