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Home Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Torino

Preview Sassuolo vs Torino August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 16:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Torino
Torino
L Away · last 5
Home Win · SAS
40%
Best 2.32
Draw
27%
Best 3.42
Away Win · TOR
33%
Best 3.42

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 56% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 55%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Sassuolo and Torino both enter this Serie A clash on the back of recent losses, signaling a need to regain momentum. Torino's slightly better recent form and away resilience may challenge Sassuolo's home efforts, though the home side's familiarity with their pitch could balance the scales. Expect a tactical battle with moderate tempo, where set-piece opportunities and defensive organization might prove decisive.

  • Both teams seek to bounce back from defeats
  • Home advantage offers Sassuolo a pressing edge
  • Moderate pace likely with focus on compact defensive blocks

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 40% Sassuolo win
Over/Under 2.5 56% Over 2.5
BTTS 55% Yes
Double Chance 68% 1X
  • 1X2 Sassuolo win 40%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56%
  • BTTS Yes 55%
  • Double Chance 1X 68%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sassuolo
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 6 / 8
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-3
xG (for / against) 1.88 / 1.17
Torino
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 6 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.28 / 1.87

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Conceded
2
2.73
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
8
Shots on Target
1
4
Corners
2
44
Possession (%)
41
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
40
DEF · home
40
90
OFF · away
80
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Sassuolo wins when scoring first
67%
Torino wins when scoring first
67%
Sassuolo BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Torino BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Sassuolo Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Torino Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Sassuolo comeback rate · last 10
20%
Torino comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Sassuolo · last 10 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 14%
31–45 29%
46–60 14%
61–75 14%
76–90 14%

Torino · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 14%
31–45 29%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 57%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

C. Odenthal
SAS · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90
C. Adams
TOR · Attacker
1 G