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Home Italy Serie A Bologna — Lazio

Match Bologna vs Lazio August 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
W Away · last 5
Referee F. Maresca
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.67
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.20
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.67
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.70 – 0.58
Δ +1.12
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.50 — +2.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Serie A opener between Bologna and Lazio hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a slight lean towards fewer goals, indicating both sides may prioritize defensive solidity early in the season. Home advantage could offer Bologna some edge, but Lazio's away resilience and tactical discipline might keep the match tight.

  • Home momentum uncertain due to lack of form data
  • Likely compact defensive setups from both sides
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 29% Implied 29% +2.50u
+250%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · LAZ 4-3-3
Subs used · BOL
60' Bernardeschi ↑ · Orsolini
60' Dovbyk ↑ · Piccoli
60' Rowe ↑ · Cambiaghi
69' Holm ↑ · Zortea
79' Amondarain ↑ · El Azzouzi
Subs used · LAZ
19' Floriani ↑ · Marusic
46' Isaksen ↑ · Cancellieri
54' Frattesi ↑ · Dele-Bashiru
78' Tavares ↑ · Pedraza
79' Noslin ↑ · Dia

📊 Statistics

BOL 01 LAZ
59%
Possession (%)
41%
1.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.58
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
5
8
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
3
18
Fouls
19
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
4
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 0 – 1
19'
R. Floriani ↓ · A. Marusic ↑
Substitution 1
22'
R. Floriani
Yellow Card
34'
B. Dia
Yellow Card
O. El Azzouzi
Yellow Card
34'
N. Cambiaghi
Yellow Card
41'
44'
M. Cancellieri
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
G. Isaksen ↓ · M. Cancellieri ↑
Substitution 2
54'
D. Frattesi ↓ · F. Dele-Bashiru ↑
Substitution 3
59'
D. Frattesi
Assist · B. Dia · 0–1
F. Bernardeschi ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑
Substitution 1
60'
A. Dovbyk ↓ · R. Piccoli ↑
Substitution 2
60'
J. Rowe ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑
Substitution 3
60'
E. Holm ↓ · N. Zortea ↑
Substitution 4
69'
78'
N. Tavares ↓ · A. Pedraza ↑
Substitution 4
79'
T. Noslin ↓ · B. Dia ↑
Substitution 5
M. Amondarain ↓ · O. El Azzouzi ↑
Substitution 5
79'
J. Odgaard
Yellow Card
83'
T. Heggem
Yellow Card
83'
90+3'
O. Provstgaard
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Lazio won 1–0 away at Bologna. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 0.58. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Frattesi (59').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.61 units (Brier 0.239).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.67 1.67 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.20 2.20 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 1.59 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 1.85 1.85 51% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.90 1.89 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.13 2.30 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.48 2.36 29% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.93 2.88 32% Cashed +1.93 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.58 1.63 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.50 3.44 29% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 1.40 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 1.22 76% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.88 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.07 88% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 8.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 1.30 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.23 3.10 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.61u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
BOL – LAZ @ 3.50
+2.6%
Edge
Forecast →