Match Torino vs AC Milan August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.98 — +2.0% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Serie A opener between Torino and AC Milan presents an open contest. The balanced odds on goals suggest a moderate tempo, where both sides might cautiously probe each other's defenses. AC Milan's historical stature hints at a slight edge, but Torino's home presence could keep the match tight.

Evenly matched attacking and defensive outlooks
Potential for a compact, tactical battle
Moderate goal environment expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.98 ✗ Lost

AI 52% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TOR 3-4-2-1 · MIL 3-4-2-1

TOR · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · MIL

18 Simeone

Subs used · TOR

70'

Adams ↑ ·

Casadei ↓

70'

Fortini ↑ ·

Pedersen ↓

70'

Njie ↑ ·

Simeone ↓

81'

Aboukhlal ↑ ·

Cacciamani ↓

85'

Kulenovic ↑ ·

Comuzzo ↓

Subs used · MIL

56'

Modric ↑ ·

Loftus-Cheek ↓

56'

Rabiot ↑ ·

Jashari ↓

66'

Saelemaekers ↑ ·

Cisse ↓

66'

Bartesaghi ↑ ·

Estupinan ↓

76'

Gabbia ↑ ·

Gila ↓

📊 Statistics

TOR 1 – 2 MIL

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.01

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.61

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 2

Half-time · 0 – 0

52'

▮

R. Loftus-Cheek

Yellow Card

56'

⇄

L. Modric ↓ · R. Loftus-Cheek ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

A. Rabiot ↓ · A. Jashari ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⚽

A. Cisse

Assist · A. Rabiot · 0–1

66'

⇄

A. Saelemaekers ↓ · A. Cisse ↑

Substitution 3

66'

⇄

D. Bartesaghi ↓ · P. Estupinan ↑

Substitution 4

66'

⚽

A. Rabiot

Assist · S. Chukwueze · 0–2

C. Adams ↓ · C. Casadei ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

N. Fortini ↓ · M. Pedersen ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

A. Njie ↓ · G. Simeone ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

76'

⇄

M. Gabbia ↓ · M. Gila ↑

Substitution 5

Z. Aboukhlal ↓ · A. Cacciamani ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

S. Kulenovic ↓ · P. Comuzzo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

C. Adams

Assist · G. Gineitis · 1–2

⚽

90+3'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

AC Milan won 2–1 away at Torino. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.61 to 1.01. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 8, 4 on target.

On the scoresheet: A. Cisse (64'), A. Rabiot (66'), C. Adams (90+3').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.38 units (Brier 0.138).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.98	1.88	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.91	2.10	50%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.91	1.75	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.79	1.85	52%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	1.91	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.80	1.90	48%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Home Win	4.42	4.41	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	1.26	71%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.28	3.75	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	1.33	74%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.63	3.19	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.05	92%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	9.01	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	3.40	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.20	1.21	73%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.26	3.29	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.31	1.36	48%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.38u	−32% ROI