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Home Italy Serie A Parma — Cagliari

Match Parma vs Cagliari August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 38% · book 2.53
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.40
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.78
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.76 – 0.74
Δ +0.02
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This Serie A opener at Stadio Ennio Tardini hints at a cautious battle. With limited recent form data, both sides may prioritize defensive solidity early on. The odds suggest a modest tempo with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a compact match where set-piece opportunities could be decisive.

  • Home advantage might offer Parma a pressing edge.
  • Cagliari could rely on structured defense to counterattack.
  • Early season dynamics favor a tight, tactical contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PAR 4-3-3 · CAG 4-2-3-1
Subs used · PAR
66' Almqvist ↑ · Bernabe
75' Kouda ↑ · Keita
75' Diallo ↑ · Lontani
85' Elphege ↑ · Konate
85' Cremaschi ↑ · Troilo
Subs used · CAG
66' Zappa ↑ · Pedro
66' Felici ↑ · Fazzini
66' Borrelli ↑ · Mendy
87' Aurelio ↑ · Obert
87' Mutandwa ↑ · Maldini

📊 Statistics

PAR 01 CAG
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.74
9
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
6
1
Corner Kicks
1
4
Fouls
13
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
0
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
10'
J. Pedro
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
58'
J. Fazzini
Yellow Card
P. Almqvist ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 1
66'
66'
G. Zappa ↓ · J. Pedro ↑
Substitution 1
66'
M. Felici ↓ · J. Fazzini ↑
Substitution 2
66'
G. Borrelli ↓ · P. Mendy ↑
Substitution 3
R. Kouda ↓ · M. Keita ↑
Substitution 2
75'
O. Diallo ↓ · S. Lontani ↑
Substitution 3
75'
79'
A. Romano
Assist · M. Adopo · 0–1
N. Elphege ↓ · A. Konate ↑
Substitution 4
85'
B. Cremaschi ↓ · M. Troilo ↑
Substitution 5
85'
87'
G. Aurelio ↓ · A. Obert ↑
Substitution 4
87'
K. Mutandwa ↓ · D. Maldini ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Cagliari won 1–0 away at Parma. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the scoresheet: A. Romano (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.28 units (Brier 0.210).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.53 2.62 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.40 2.45 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.78 1.75 53% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.97 1.98 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.66 2.70 35% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.10 2.08 33% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.81 1.82 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.89 3.00 33% Cashed +1.89 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.57 1.57 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.44 1.44 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 1.36 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.47 1.50 62% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Draw 3.05 3.00 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.19 1.17 79% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.45 4.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 1.07 87% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.00 6.99 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.28u −13% ROI