Match Genoa vs Napoli August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.91 — +1.4% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this Serie A opener hints at a cautious encounter. Napoli likely holds a quality edge, but Genoa’s home ground could temper the visitors’ attacking threat. The odds suggest a lower-scoring game, favoring compact defenses and measured tempo.

Napoli’s superior squad depth may press for control.
Genoa’s home resilience could limit chances.
Expect a tactical battle with few clear-cut opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.91 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 3-4-2-1 · NAP 4-3-3

GEN · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · NAP

29 Colombo

Subs used · GEN

66'

Otoa ↑ ·

Ostigard ↓

66'

Messias ↑ ·

Baldanzi ↓

74'

Meichtry ↑ ·

Colombo ↓

75'

Sow ↑ ·

Amorim ↓

87' Zulevic ↑ ·

Vasquez ↓

Subs used · NAP

66'

Lang ↑ ·

Santos ↓

67'

Vergara ↑ ·

Politano ↓

67'

De Bruyne ↑ ·

Anguissa ↓

78'

Lucca ↑ ·

Hojlund ↓

81'

Olivera ↑ ·

Marin ↓

📊 Statistics

GEN 0 – 2 NAP

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.58

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 2

Half-time · 0 – 0

54'

▮

M. Politano

Yellow Card

S. Otoa ↓ · L. Ostigard ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

Junior Messias ↓ · T. Baldanzi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

⇄

N. Lang ↓ · Alisson Santos ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

A. Vergara ↓ · M. Politano ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

K. De Bruyne ↓ · F. Anguissa ↑

Substitution 3

F. Meichtry ↓ · L. Colombo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

D. Sow ↓ · Amorim ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

78'

⇄

L. Lucca ↓ · R. Hojlund ↑

Substitution 4

81'

⇄

M. Olivera ↓ · R. Marin ↑

Substitution 5

82'

⚽

K. De Bruyne

Assist · A. Vergara · 0–1

L. Ostigard

Yellow Card

▮

85'

S. Sabelli

Yellow Card

▮

85'

87'

⚽

A. Vergara

Assist · K. De Bruyne · 0–2

A. Zulevic ↓ · J. Vasquez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Napoli won 2–0 away at Genoa. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 9 shots to 5, 2 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.10 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: K. De Bruyne (82'), A. Vergara (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.43 units (Brier 0.132).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.91	1.76	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.53	1.53	62%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.50	2.50	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	1.70	54%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.02	2.05	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.05	2.05	44%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.91	2.70	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.50	4.26	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.21	1.17	77%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.39	1.44	68%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.17	4.50	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	6.99	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.33	3.15	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.36	3.10	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.19	1.23	74%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.40	1.40	45%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.43u	−32% ROI