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Home Italy Serie A Udinese — Como

Match Udinese vs Como August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Udinese
Udinese
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Como
Como
D Away · last 5
Bluenergy Stadium · Udine Referee Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 53% · book 1.95
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.67
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.20
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.98 – 1.49
Δ +0.49
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.95 — +2.7% better than the market.

With limited recent form and performance data, this Serie A opener between Udinese and Como hints at a cautious contest. The odds suggest a modest tempo with a slight edge towards a low-scoring game. Udinese's home advantage could be crucial, potentially allowing them to control the pace and impose a compact defensive block. Como may look to absorb pressure and exploit set-piece opportunities.

  • Home momentum may favor Udinese despite data gaps
  • Likely tactical battle with defensive solidity prioritized
  • Moderate pace expected, leaning towards under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed
AI 53% Implied 51% +0.95u
+95%
ROI on stake

Lineups

UDI 3-4-2-1 · COM 4-2-3-1
Subs used · UDI
46' Ebosse ↑ · Palma
71' Miller ↑ · Piotrowski
72' Bayo ↑ · Gueye
85' Gomez ↑ · Ekkelenkamp
90' Zarraga ↑ · Zaniolo
Subs used · COM
46' Da Cunha ↑ · Perrone
46' Diao ↑ · Baturina
71' Liberali ↑ · Rodriguez
89' Caqueret ↑ · Paz
89' Smolcic ↑ · Couto

📊 Statistics

UDI 11 COM
41%
Possession (%)
59%
1.98
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.49
16
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
6
11
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
13
1
Corner Kicks
10
13
Fouls
11
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
J. Piotrowski
Yellow Card
28'
H. Kamara
Assist · J. Ekkelenkamp · 1–0
29'
J. Abankwah
Yellow Card
41'
Half-time · 1 – 0
E. Ebosse ↓ · M. Palma ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
L. Da Cunha ↓ · M. Perrone ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Diao ↓ · M. Baturina ↑
Substitution 2
54'
A. Douvikas
1–1
71'
M. Liberali ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 3
L. Miller ↓ · J. Piotrowski ↑
Substitution 2
71'
V. Bayo ↓ · I. Gueye ↑
Substitution 3
72'
U. Gomez ↓ · J. Ekkelenkamp ↑
Substitution 4
85'
89'
M. Caqueret ↓ · N. Paz ↑
Substitution 4
89'
I. Smolcic ↓ · Y. Couto ↑
Substitution 5
O. Zarraga ↓ · N. Zaniolo ↑
Substitution 5
90'
U. Gomez
Yellow Card
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Udinese and Como drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 16, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Kamara (29'), A. Douvikas (54').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.07 units (Brier 0.160).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.95 1.93 53% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.67 1.73 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.20 2.10 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.74 1.80 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.99 1.94 47% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
Away Win 1.82 1.83 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.95 3.19 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.33 4.63 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.38 1.33 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.23 1.24 76% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.93 3.75 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.03 89% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.10 9.01 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.45 3.26 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.45 3.50 26% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.21 1.19 73% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.34 1.31 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.07u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
UDI – COM @ 1.95
+2.7%
Edge
Forecast →