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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Freiburg — FSV Mainz 05

Prediction: SC Freiburg vs FSV Mainz 05, April 17

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Apr · 13:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D W L W L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRE
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · MAI
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
SC Freiburg
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.58 / 0.43
FSV Mainz 05
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 13 / 10
Avg goals / match 4.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.08 / 1.23

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.80
Goals Scored
2.60
0.80
Goals Conceded
2
0.63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
6
Shots on Target
6
5.60
Corners
5.60
53
Possession (%)
50.40
110.01
Efficiency index
108.12
158.96
Adjusted index
133.36
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
67
OFF · home
44
89
DEF · home
33
56
OFF · away
94
100
DEF · away
83
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
SC Freiburg wins when scoring first
100%
①
FSV Mainz 05 wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
SC Freiburg BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
FSV Mainz 05 BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
SC Freiburg Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
SC Freiburg comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
FSV Mainz 05 comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

SC Freiburg · last 10 at home

0–15 4%
16–30 24%
31–45 16%
46–60 16%
61–75 16%
76–90 24%

FSV Mainz 05 · last 10 away

0–15 19%
16–30 10%
31–45 24%
46–60 14%
61–75 5%
76–90 29%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

Y. Suzuki
FRE · Midfielder
4 G · 1.11 g/90
I. Matanović
FRE · Attacker
3 G · 0.83 g/90
P. Tietz
MAI · Attacker
4 G · 0.80 g/90
S. Becker
MAI · Attacker
2 G · 0.50 g/90