Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk 3:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home -0.5 at 1.85 — +6.0% better than the market.

Korona Kielce arrives with solid home form and a strong defensive setup, making them tough to break down at EXBUD Arena. Lechia Gdansk, despite showing attacking potential, struggles defensively on the road, which may limit their scoring chances. The home side’s recent consistency and better points per game suggest a clear edge, though Lechia’s ability to find the net keeps the door open for goals from both sides. The model favors a home win with moderate goal scoring, highlighting value in backing Korona to win and the match to produce goals, but with a controlled tempo likely keeping totals around two to three goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · AH Home -0.5

AH Home -0.5 @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 54% +0.85u

+85%

ROI on stake

Lineups

KOR 5-4-1 · LEC 4-4-2

KOR · 5-4-1 4-4-2 · LEC

70 Antoñín

Subs used · KOR

76'

Matuszewski ↑ ·

Pięczek ↓

76'

Nono ↑ ·

Błanik ↓

86'

Davidović ↑ ·

Długosz ↓

Subs used · LEC

46'

Ćirković ↑ ·

Viunnyk ↓

64'

Awadalla ↑ ·

Bobček ↓

81'

Olsson ↑ ·

Kurminowski ↓

90'

Sezonienko ↑ ·

Mena ↓

90'

Szczepankiewicz ↑ ·

Neugebauer ↓

Statistics

KOR 3 – 0 LEC

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

72%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 3 – 0

Wiktor Długosz

Assist · Marcel Pięczek · 1–0

⚽

16'

44'

▮

Camilo Mena

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

Aleksandar Ćirković ↓ · Bogdan Viunnyk ↑

Substitution 1

Wiktor Długosz

Assist · Dawid Błanik · 2–0

⚽

51'

64'

⇄

Mohamed Awadalla ↓ · Tomáš Bobček ↑

Substitution 2

Pau Resta

Yellow Card

▮

71'

Konrad Matuszewski ↓ · Marcel Pięczek ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

76'

Nono ↓ · Dawid Błanik ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

Nono

Yellow Card

▮

77'

79'

▮

Miłosz Kałahur

Red Card

81'

⇄

Elias Olsson ↓ · Dawid Kurminowski ↑

Substitution 3

Martin Remacle

3–0

⚽

86'

Stjepan Davidović ↓ · Wiktor Długosz ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

90'

⇄

Kacper Sezonienko ↓ · Camilo Mena ↑

Substitution 4

90'

⇄

Bartosz Szczepankiewicz ↓ · Tomasz Neugebauer ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Korona Kielce beat Lechia Gdansk 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.65 to 1.10. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Wiktor Długosz (16'), Wiktor Długosz (51'), Martin Remacle (86'). Miłosz Kałahur was sent off in the 79' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 10 graded markets, 5 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.97 units (Brier 0.184).

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 5 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	45%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.31	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	79%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.98	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.40	—	60%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Home Win	1.85	—	57%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.00	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -0.5	1.85	—	57%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 5 L	−1.97u	−20% ROI

Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled