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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W L W L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:30
6:0
Full-time
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
D L W D L Away · last 5
Leipzig Red Bull Arena · Leipzig Referee Daniel Siebert
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.20 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 34% · book 2.80 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 51% · book 1.73 ✓
Total goals
6
6 · 0
xG (open play)
4.10 – 1.52
Δ +2.58
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 2.20 — +6.7% better than the market.

RB Leipzig holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Eintracht Frankfurt, who have shown resilience but less firepower. Leipzig’s attacking threat matches well against Frankfurt’s moderate defense, suggesting chances for goals. The home side’s pressing and compact block could exploit Frankfurt’s defensive gaps, while recent form favors Leipzig’s sharper execution.

  • Home edge in attack-defense matchup
  • Leipzig’s better recent form and home rhythm
  • Potential for open play given both sides’ offensive traits

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 2.20 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEI 4-2-3-1 · EIN 4-4-2
LEI · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · EIN 26 Vandevoordt 17 Baku 4 Orbán 23 Lukeba 22 Raum 6 Banzuzi ⚽ 21 El Aynaoui 30 Maksimović 28 Nkunku ⚽ 7 Nusa ⚽ 40 Rômulo 1 Atubolu 34 Collins 4 Koch 3 Brassier 26 Kosugi 20 Dōan 15 Aséko Nkili 25 Onyedika 42 Uzun 7 Knauff 9 Burkardt
Subs used · LEI
58' Seiwald ↑ · Aynaoui ↓
58' Henrichs ↑ · Baku ↓
64' Gomis ↑ · Nkunku ↓
64' Finkgräfe ↑ · Nusa ↓
73' Reitz ↑ · Banzuzi ↓
Subs used · EIN
45' Baum ↑ · Koch ↓
45' Ebnoutalib ↑ · Kosugi ↓
73' Chaibi ↑ · Aseko ↓
73' Arrhov ↑ · Doan ↓

Statistics

LEI 6 – 0 EIN
46%
Possession (%)
54%
4.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.52
20
Total Shots
18
10
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots off Target
5
18
Shots Inside Box
16
3
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
9
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 6 – 0
Ezechiel Banzuzi
Assist · Neil El Aynaoui · 1–0
⚽
1'
Christopher Nkunku
Assist · Antonio Nusa · 2–0
⚽
5'
Neil El Aynaoui
Yellow Card
▮
27'
Christopher Nkunku
3–0
⚽
41'
Christopher Nkunku
4–0
⚽
44'
45'
⇄
Elias Niklas Baum ↓ · Robin Koch ↑
Substitution 1
45'
⇄
Younes Ebnoutalib ↓ · Keita Kosugi ↑
Substitution 2
Half-time · 4 – 0
Antonio Nusa
Assist · Ezechiel Banzuzi · 5–0
⚽
54'
Nicolas Seiwald ↓ · Neil El Aynaoui ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
Benjamin Henrichs ↓ · Ridle Baku ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
62'
▮
Elias Niklas Baum
Yellow Card
Tidiam Gomis ↓ · Christopher Nkunku ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
64'
Max Finkgräfe ↓ · Antonio Nusa ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
64'
73'
⇄
Fares Chaibi ↓ · Noel Aseko ↑
Substitution 3
Rocco Reitz ↓ · Ezechiel Banzuzi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
73'
73'
⇄
Love Arrhov ↓ · Ritsu Doan ↑
Substitution 4
76'
▮
Ansgar Knauff
Yellow Card
84'
▮
Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
Yellow Card
Tidiam Gomis
Assist · Benjamin Henrichs · 6–0
⚽
89'
Full-time · 6 – 0

Match recap

RB Leipzig beat Eintracht Frankfurt 6–0 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.10 to 1.52. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 6 from 4.10 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ezechiel Banzuzi (1'), Christopher Nkunku (5'), Christopher Nkunku (41'), Christopher Nkunku (44'), Antonio Nusa (54'), Tidiam Gomis (89').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.16 units (Brier 0.132).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.20 2.20 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.80 3.17 34% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.73 1.67 51% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.50 2.34 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.53 1.60 66% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.18 1.18 87% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.40 1.33 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.22 1.25 66% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.32 3.75 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.60 4.63 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.07 1.06 87% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.31 1.25 70% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.93 8.47 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.25 4.74 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.01 3.72 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −4.16u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
LEI – EIN @ 2.20
+6.7%
Edge
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