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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg 1:4: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home · last 5 D L W D L
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 15:30
1:4
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W W D L D Away · last 5
Referee D. Schlager
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 57% · book 2.18 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.88 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 46% · book 1.93 ✗
Total goals
5
1 · 4
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.43 — +9.6% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt hosts FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash where recent form suggests a tight contest. Frankfurt's home momentum is tempered by a draw in their last outing, while Augsburg arrives on the back of a win, hinting at rising confidence. The matchup could see a lively pace given the market's lean towards over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and attacking intent from both sides.

  • Frankfurt's home edge may be offset by Augsburg's recent winning form.
  • Both teams have shown resilience in past encounters, often producing goals.
  • The betting market signals a game with offensive opportunities and potential for multiple goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.43 ✓ Cashed
AI 77% Implied 70% +0.43u
+43%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EIN 4-4-2 · AUG 3-4-2-1
Subs used · EIN
69' Chaibi ↑ · Götze ↓
69' Amaimouni-Echghouyab ↑ · Uzun ↓
69' Chandler ↑ · Baum ↓
87' Pimpong ↑ · Doan ↓
Subs used · AUG
61' Claude-Maurice ↑ · Fellhauer ↓
62' Kömür ↑ · Ibrahimovic ↓
72' Ribeiro ↑ · Gregoritsch ↓
72' Young-woo ↑ · Wolf ↓
84' Gouweleeuw ↑ · Brackelmann ↓

Statistics

EIN 1 – 4 AUG
60%
Possession (%)
40%
22
Total Shots
17
8
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
5
17
Shots Inside Box
9
9
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

16 · 1 – 4
Jonathan Burkardt
Assist · Younes Ebnoutalib · 1–0
⚽
6'
36'
▮
Noahkai Banks
Yellow Card
Keita Kosugi
Yellow Card
▮
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⚽
Elias Niklas Baum
Own goal · 1–1
47'
⚽
Robin Fellhauer
1–2
61'
⇄
Alexis Claude-Maurice ↓ · Robin Fellhauer ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
Mert Kömür ↓ · Arijon Ibrahimovic ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⚽
Alexis Claude-Maurice
Assist · Han-Noah Massengo · 1–3
Fares Chaibi ↓ · Mario Götze ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
69'
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab ↓ · Can Yilmaz Uzun ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
Timothy Chandler ↓ · Elias Niklas Baum ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
72'
⇄
Rodrigo Ribeiro ↓ · Michael Gregoritsch ↑
Substitution 3
72'
⇄
Seol Young-woo ↓ · Marius Wolf ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw ↓ · Calvin Marc Brackelmann ↑
Substitution 5
Malik Pimpong ↓ · Ritsu Doan ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
89'
⚽
Fabian Rieder
1–4
Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

FC Augsburg won 4–1 away at Eintracht Frankfurt. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 17, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

On the scoresheet: Jonathan Burkardt (6'), Elias Niklas Baum (46'), Robin Fellhauer (47'), Alexis Claude-Maurice (65'), Fabian Rieder (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.73 units (Brier 0.165).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.18 2.06 57% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.88 1.88 54% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Home Win 1.93 1.88 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.75 2.84 30% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.74 1.80 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.64 2.80 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.75 2.88 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.43 1.40 77% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.40 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.29 1.27 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.48 1.45 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.45 3.60 30% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.12 1.10 90% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 3.95 4.15 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 20.50 20.83 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.40 6.49 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.73u −10% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
EIN – AUG @ 1.43
+9.6%
Edge
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