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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Mönchengladbach — SV Elversberg

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg 3:4: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:30
3:4
Full-time
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
W W L D L Away · last 5
Referee M. Petersen
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 52% · book 1.88 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.65 ✗
Total goals
7
3 · 4
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.50 — +13.6% better than the market.

Borussia Mönchengladbach hosts SV Elversberg in a Bundesliga clash where home momentum is fragile after a recent loss, while Elversberg arrives on the back of a win, signaling early confidence. The home side’s pressing edge and set-piece threat could challenge Elversberg’s defense, but the visitors’ compact block and counter-attacking pace may exploit gaps. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, reflecting a balanced tactical battle.

  • Home side’s pressing and set-piece potential
  • Away team’s compact defense and counter-attack
  • Moderate pace hinting at goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 25% Implied 22% +3.50u
+350%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MOE 4-2-3-1 · ELV 4-2-3-1
MOE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ELV 1 Nicolas 29 Scally ⚽ 6 Itakura 4 Diks 26 Ullrich 16 Sander 34 Nguefack 9 Honorat 36 Mohya 38 Bolin ⚽ 11 Kleindienst 20 Kristof 30 Gyamerah 19 Pinckert 31 Rohr 21 Günther 43 Keidel ⚽ 8 Poręba 25 Petkov 40 Onyeka 39 Campbell 42 Mokwa ⚽
Subs used · MOE
69' Hack ↑ · Mohya ↓
69' Kühn ↑ · Honorat ↓
77' Lidberg ↑ · Kleindienst ↓
77' Leszczynski ↑ · Scally ↓
81' Herold ↑ · Ullrich ↓
Subs used · ELV
64' Krattenmacher ↑ · Campbell ↓
75' Futkeu ↑ · Onyeka ↓
75' Mickelson ↑ · Günther ↓
88' Sirch ↑ · Gyamerah ↓
88' Condé ↑ · Mokwa ↓

Statistics

MOE 3 – 4 ELV
52%
Possession (%)
48%
23
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
10
6
Shots off Target
4
17
Shots Inside Box
10
12
Corner Kicks
4
5
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

22 · 3 – 4
Hugo Bolin
1–0
⚽
11'
29'
⚽
David Mokwa
Assist · Lukas Pinckert · 1–1
Hugo Bolin
Assist · Franck Honorat · 2–1
⚽
44'
45'
▮
Vincent Wagner
Yellow Card
Hugo Bolin
Yellow Card
▮
45+2'
Half-time · 2 – 1
Joe Scally
Assist · Franck Honorat · 3–1
⚽
56'
64'
⇄
Maurice Krattenmacher ↓ · Cole Campbell ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⚽
Maurice Krattenmacher
3–2
Robin Hack ↓ · Wael Mohya ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
69'
Nicolas Kühn ↓ · Franck Honorat ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
75'
⇄
Noel Futkeu ↓ · Francis Onyeka ↑
Substitution 2
75'
⇄
Nicholas Mickelson ↓ · Lasse Günther ↑
Substitution 3
Isac Lidberg ↓ · Tim Kleindienst ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
Jan Leszczynski ↓ · Joe Scally ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
mathieu nguefack
Yellow Card
▮
79'
80'
⚽
Felix Keidel
3–3
David Herold ↓ · Lukas Ullrich ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
88'
⇄
Luca Sirch ↓ · Jan Gyamerah ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
Amara Condé ↓ · David Mokwa ↑
Substitution 5
Kevin Diks
Yellow Card
▮
89'
90'
▮
Amara Condé
Yellow Card
90+2'
⚽
Maurice Krattenmacher
Assist · Noel Futkeu · 3–4
Full-time · 3 – 4

Match recap

SV Elversberg won 4–3 away at Borussia Mönchengladbach. At half-time it was 2–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 14, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Hugo Bolin (11'), David Mokwa (29'), Hugo Bolin (44'), Joe Scally (56'), Maurice Krattenmacher (66'), Felix Keidel (80'), Maurice Krattenmacher (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net 0.00 units (Brier 0.227).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.88 1.88 52% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 1.50 59% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.65 2.65 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.30 2.58 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.48 2.23 37% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.44 61% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Home Win 1.91 1.88 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.50 3.85 25% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.67 1.67 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.19 1.25 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 1.14 80% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 3.95 3.85 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.53 5.46 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.87 2.87 28% Cashed +1.87 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 16.95 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.38 1.45 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.00u +0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
MOE – ELV @ 4.50
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →