Wolves vs Nottingham Forest 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.81 — +10.1% better than the market.

Nottingham Forest arrive at Molineux with clear momentum, contrasting Wolves' recent struggles. Forest's sharper attack faces a Wolves defense that has been leaky, suggesting an edge for the visitors. Wolves' home advantage is limited by their poor form and defensive vulnerabilities, while Forest's compact block and recent resilience hint at control in midfield.

Forest's pressing and counter-attack threat
Wolves' defensive lapses at home
Form disparity favoring visitors

The match pace may lean towards a cautious start, but Forest's quality and confidence could unlock chances, making them favorites to take points.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

Lineups

WOL 3-4-3 · NOT 4-2-3-1

WOL · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · NOT

27 Bellegarde

Subs used · WOL

67'

Hee-Chan ↑ ·

Bellegarde ↓

81'

Arokodare ↑ ·

Arias ↓

81'

Hoever ↑ ·

Tchatchoua ↓

81'

Mane ↑ ·

Mosquera ↓

85'

Munetsi ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

Subs used · NOT

67'

Hudson-Odoi ↑ ·

Ndoye ↓

67'

Yates ↑ ·

Sangare ↓

90+3'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Gibbs-White ↓

Statistics

WOL 0 – 1 NOT

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.78

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 0 – 1

19'

▮

Nikola Milenković

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

João Gomes

Yellow Card

▮

52'

61'

▮

Elliot Anderson

Yellow Card

Yerson Mosquera

Yellow Card

▮

67'

Hwang Hee-Chan ↓ · J. Bellegarde ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

⇄

C. Hudson-Odoi ↓ · D. Ndoye ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

R. Yates ↓ · I. Sangare ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⚽

Igor Jesus

Assist · O. Hutchinson · 0–1

T. Arokodare ↓ · J. Arias ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

81'

K. Hoever ↓ · J. Tchatchoua ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

M. Mane ↓ · Y. Mosquera ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

M. Munetsi ↓ · Joao Gomes ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

90+3'

⇄

N. Dominguez ↓ · M. Gibbs-White ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Nottingham Forest won 1–0 away at Wolves. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 5, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Igor Jesus (72').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.14 units (Brier 0.153).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	—	61%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Away Win	2.34	—	51%	Cashed	+1.34	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	55%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.66	—	51%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.87	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.68	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.34	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.37	—	78%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.31	—	35%	Cashed	+2.31	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	80%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	88%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.39	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.90	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.40	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.14u	−13% ROI

Wolves vs Nottingham Forest 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled