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Home › England › Premier League › Aston Villa — Newcastle

Prediction: Aston Villa vs Newcastle, May 15

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sat 15 May · 14:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Newcastle
Newcastle
D W D L W Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AST
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · NEW
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Aston Villa
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.80 / 1.27
Newcastle
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.09 / 1.64

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1.80
1.83
Goals Conceded
1.80
0.40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
3.17
Shots on Target
3.60
2.83
Corners
4.40
46.83
Possession (%)
48.60
120
Efficiency index
120
61.68
Adjusted index
113.35
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
35
OFF · home
65
45
DEF · home
20
40
OFF · away
20
25
DEF · away
15
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Aston Villa wins when scoring first
100%
①
Newcastle wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Aston Villa BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Newcastle BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Aston Villa Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Newcastle Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Aston Villa comeback rate · last 10
50%
↩
Newcastle comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Aston Villa · last 10 at home

0–15 25%
16–30 0%
31–45 13%
46–60 13%
61–75 19%
76–90 31%

Newcastle · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 20%
31–45 30%
46–60 0%
61–75 40%
76–90 10%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

J. Willock
NEW · Midfielder
2 G · 0.63 g/90
A. Elanga
NEW · Attacker
2 G · 0.77 g/90