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Home › England › Premier League › Brentford — Sunderland

Brentford vs Sunderland 1:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brentford
Brentford
Home · last 5 D D D W D
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
W D L L L Away · last 5
Referee T. Bramall
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.80 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.86 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 43% · book 2.28 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 1.5 at 1.24 — +5.1% better than the market.

Brentford enter this clash with a clear home momentum, having collected maximum points recently and showing a strong attacking presence. Sunderland’s form is decent but less consistent, and their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Brentford’s forward thrusts. The pace of the game is likely to be lively, with both sides pushing for goals, supported by the odds favoring over 2.5 goals.

  • Home side’s recent form suggests confidence in attack.
  • Sunderland’s defense may struggle under pressure.
  • Expect an open game with goal-scoring opportunities.

Overall, Brentford hold a tactical edge at home, but Sunderland’s resilience could keep the contest competitive.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 1.5
Over 1.5 @ 1.24 ✓ Cashed
AI 85% Implied 81% +0.24u
+24%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · SUN 5-4-1
Subs used · BRE
17' Schuster ↑ · Collins ↓
45' Hickey ↑ · Kayode ↓
45' Anthony ↑ · Ouattara ↓
45' Yarmoliuk ↑ · Sangare ↓
86' Wilson ↑ · Damsgaard ↓
Subs used · SUN
64' Hume ↑ · Meunier ↓
64' Isidor ↑ · Angulo ↓
74' Fofana ↑ · Sadiki ↓

Statistics

BRE 1 – 1 SUN
49%
Possession (%)
51%
12
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
19
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
14'
▮
Noah Sadiki
Yellow Card
Jannik Schuster ↓ · Nathan Collins ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
17'
Mamadou Sangare
Yellow Card
▮
30'
Aaron Hickey ↓ · Michael Kayode ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
45'
Jaidon Anthony ↓ · Dango Ouattara ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
45'
Yehor Yarmoliuk ↓ · Mamadou Sangare ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
45'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Vitaly Janelt
1–0
⚽
57'
Vitaly Janelt
Yellow Card
▮
62'
64'
⇄
Trai Hume ↓ · Thomas Meunier ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
Wilson Isidor ↓ · Nilson Angulo ↑
Substitution 2
Yehor Yarmoliuk
Yellow Card
▮
69'
74'
⇄
Malick Fofana ↓ · Noah Sadiki ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⚽
Enzo Le Fée (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Callum Wilson ↓ · Mikkel Damsgaard ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
88'
▮
Granit Xhaka
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Brentford and Sunderland drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Vitaly Janelt (57'), Enzo Le Fée (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.16 units (Brier 0.196).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.80 1.83 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.86 1.75 56% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.28 2.16 43% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Home Win 1.62 1.72 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.90 2.00 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 2.00 36% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.02 3.00 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.24 1.25 85% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 1.18 81% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Away Win 5.25 4.98 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.04 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.90 3.85 24% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 1.36 56% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.94 3.45 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.22 1.27 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.82 3.70 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 10.99 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.16u −13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
BRE – SUN @ 1.24
+5.1%
Edge
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