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Home › England › Premier League › Manchester City — Coventry

Predictions by Market: Manchester City vs Coventry

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
Coventry
Coventry
L L L L W Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee P. Tierney

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MCI
72%
Best 1.21
Draw
16%
Best 8.50
Away Win · COV
12%
Best 16.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.25
Fair odds
6.35
book 7.25 · +14.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +14.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (72%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.9%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15.8%
Odds 7.25
Show model details
Implied probability 13.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 52%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 92.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.9%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 27.7%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
MCI – COV @ 7.25
+14.3%
Edge
Forecast →