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Home › England › Premier League › Arsenal — Coventry

Predictions by Market: Arsenal vs Coventry

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Fri 21 Aug · 19:00
3:0
Full-time
Coventry
Coventry
L L L L W Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee Thomas Bramall, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARS
71%
Best 1.25
Draw
15%
Best 7.11
Away Win · COV
14%
Best 15.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.50
Fair odds
6.66
book 7.50 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 15% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (71%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 15%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.4%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 9.60
Show model details
Implied probability 10.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 29%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
ARS – COV @ 7.50
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →