Match Canada vs Morocco July 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Morocco arrives with strong momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a solid defensive record in qualifiers. Their compact backline and efficient attack create a pressing edge against Canada, whose form and strength data are unavailable, adding uncertainty to their home advantage. Expect a tactically disciplined game with Morocco likely to control tempo and create chances through quick transitions.

Morocco's defensive solidity and clean sheets
Canada's unknown form adds unpredictability
Potential for a balanced but slightly open match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CAN 4-4-2 · MAR 4-2-3-1

CAN · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · MAR

12 Oluwaseyi

Subs used · CAN

63'

Larin ↑ ·

Oluwaseyi ↓

78'

David ↑ ·

Ahmed ↓

79'

Shaffelburg ↑ ·

Laryea ↓

87'

Nelson ↑ ·

Buchanan ↓

87'

Osorio ↑ ·

Sigur ↓

Subs used · MAR

22'

Rahimi ↑ ·

Saibari ↓

63'

Amrabat ↑ ·

Bouaddi ↓

63'

Talbi ↑ ·

El Khannouss ↓

87'

Saadane ↑ ·

Diop ↓

87'

El Mourabet ↑ ·

Ounahi ↓

📊 Statistics

CAN 0 – 3 MAR

45%

Possession (%)

55%

0.86

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.84

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 0 – 3

20'

▮

R. Halhal

Yellow Card

22'

⇄

S. Rahimi ↓ · I. Saibari ↑

Substitution 1

40'

▮

A. Hakimi

Yellow Card

R. Laryea

Yellow Card

▮

40'

J. David

Yellow Card

▮

43'

45'

▮

A. Ounahi

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

L. De Fougerolles

Yellow Card

▮

49'

50'

⚽

A. Ounahi

Assist · A. Hakimi · 0–1

45+6'

▮

B. El Khannouss

Yellow Card

63'

⇄

S. Amrabat ↓ · A. Bouaddi ↑

Substitution 2

63'

⇄

C. Talbi ↓ · B. El Khannouss ↑

Substitution 3

C. Larin ↓ · T. Oluwaseyi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

C. Larin

Yellow Card

▮

67'

P. David ↓ · A. Ahmed ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

J. Shaffelburg ↓ · R. Laryea ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

82'

⚽

A. Ounahi

Assist · B. Diaz · 0–2

87'

⇄

M. Saadane ↓ · I. Diop ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

S. El Mourabet ↓ · A. Ounahi ↑

Substitution 5

J. Nelson ↓ · T. Buchanan ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

J. Osorio ↓ · N. Sigur ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

90+8'

⚽

S. Rahimi

Assist · B. Diaz · 0–3

Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Morocco won 3–0 away at Canada. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 5, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 1. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.84 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Ounahi (50'), A. Ounahi (82'), S. Rahimi (90+8').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.13 units (Brier 0.150).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.25	2.20	55%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.06	2.00	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.98	2.00	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.80	1.75	46%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS No	1.72	1.74	43%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.65	1.67	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.33	4.00	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.88	5.38	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	1.36	78%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.19	1.17	73%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	1.04	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.88	3.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.50	3.79	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.45	3.40	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.18	1.20	65%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.30	1.25	46%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	8.00	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.13u	−30% ROI