Match Switzerland vs Algeria July 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.99 — +12.7% better than the market.

Switzerland show strong defensive discipline with two clean sheets in six qualifiers, complemented by a solid home momentum featuring multiple wins and draws. Their compact block and efficient counterattacks contrast with Algeria's more open style, which has yielded a higher goal rate but also more concessions. Algeria's attacking edge and pressing intensity suggest a lively contest with chances at both ends.

Switzerland's defensive resilience and home composure
Algeria's attacking threat and higher goal tempo
Potential for an open game with over 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.99 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SWI 4-2-3-1 · ALG 4-2-3-1

SWI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ALG

7 Embolo ⚽

Subs used · SWI

71'

Rieder ↑ ·

Vargas ↓

71'

Okafor ↑ ·

Manzambi ↓

83'

Amdouni ↑ ·

Embolo ↓

87'

Aebischer ↑ ·

Ndoye ↓

87'

Widmer ↑ ·

Zakaria ↓

Subs used · ALG

58'

Hadjam ↑ ·

Aouar ↓

58'

Gouiri ↑ ·

Zerrouki ↓

71'

Hadj Moussa ↑ ·

Mahrez ↓

71'

Boudaoui ↑ ·

Bentaleb ↓

82'

Boulbina ↑ ·

Belghali ↓

📊 Statistics

SWI 2 – 0 ALG

44%

Possession (%)

56%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 0

B. Embolo

Assist · J. Manzambi · 1–0

⚽

10'

36'

▮

F. Chaibi

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

D. Ndoye

2–0

⚽

46'

58'

⇄

J. Hadjam ↓ · H. Aouar ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

A. Gouiri ↓ · R. Zerrouki ↑

Substitution 2

F. Rieder ↓ · R. Vargas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

N. Okafor ↓ · J. Manzambi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

⇄

A. Hadj Moussa ↓ · R. Mahrez ↑

Substitution 3

71'

⇄

H. Boudaoui ↓ · N. Bentaleb ↑

Substitution 4

72'

▮

H. Boudaoui

Yellow Card

82'

⇄

A. Boulbina ↓ · R. Belghali ↑

Substitution 5

Z. Amdouni ↓ · B. Embolo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

83'

M. Aebischer ↓ · D. Ndoye ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

S. Widmer ↓ · D. Zakaria ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Switzerland beat Algeria 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball.

On the scoresheet: B. Embolo (10'), D. Ndoye (46').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.11 units (Brier 0.154).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.99	2.20	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.84	1.95	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.94	1.84	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.08	1.95	47%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	1.80	44%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.67	1.67	46%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	4.00	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	1.20	76%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	1.36	79%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	4.27	4.37	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.05	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.50	3.25	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	1.23	64%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.81	2.93	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	3.00	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.44	1.41	48%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	8.00	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.11u	−30% ROI