Match Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands July 3, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Argentina enters this World Cup clash with solid home momentum, boasting a strong defensive record and a high clean sheet rate in qualifiers. Their attacking edge is notable, with frequent shots on target and set-piece threats. Cape Verde Islands have shown resilience and effective counter-attacks, maintaining a compact block and a good clean sheet percentage away from home. The match may see a balanced tempo, with both sides capable of scoring but also disciplined defensively.

Argentina's home defensive solidity and attacking pressure
Cape Verde's disciplined away defense and counter-attacking potential
Moderate pace expected with tactical caution from both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ARG 4-4-2 · CPV 4-1-4-1

ARG · 4-4-2 4-1-4-1 · CPV

22 Martínez

Subs used · ARG

63'

Alvarez ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

64'

Gonzalez ↑ ·

Almada ↓

84'

Paredes ↑ ·

de Paul ↓

86'

Tagliafico ↑ ·

Medina ↓

104'

Montiel ↑ ·

Molina ↓

Subs used · CPV

67'

Monteiro ↑ ·

Duarte ↓

67'

Livramento ↑ ·

Da Costa ↓

80'

Semedo ↑ ·

Mendes ↓

80'

Varela ↑ ·

Cabral ↓

100'

Semedo ↑ ·

Duarte ↓

100'

Benchimol ↑ ·

Lenini ↓

📊 Statistics

ARG 3 – 2 CPV

64%

Possession (%)

36%

2.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.36

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 3 – 2

L. Messi

Assist · L. Martinez · 1–0

⚽

29'

Half-time · 1 – 0

59'

⚽

D. Duarte

Assist · R. Mendes · 1–1

J. Alvarez ↓ · L. Martinez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

N. Gonzalez ↓ · T. Almada ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

67'

⇄

J. Monteiro ↓ · L. Duarte ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

D. Livramento ↓ · N. Da Costa ↑

Substitution 2

68'

▮

K. Lenini

Yellow Card

80'

⇄

W. Semedo ↓ · R. Mendes ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

H. Varela ↓ · J. Cabral ↑

Substitution 4

L. Paredes ↓ · R. de Paul ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

N. Tagliafico ↓ · F. Medina ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

L. Martinez

Assist · A. Mac Allister · 2–1

⚽

92'

100'

⇄

Y. Semedo ↓ · D. Duarte ↑

Substitution 5

100'

⇄

Benchimol ↓ · K. Lenini ↑

Substitution 6

103'

⚽

S. Lopes Cabral

Assist · Y. Semedo · 2–2

G. Montiel ↓ · N. Molina ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

104'

D. Borges

Own goal · 3–2

⚽

111'

G. Montiel

Yellow Card

▮

115'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Argentina beat Cape Verde Islands 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 0.36. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 13, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.36 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: L. Messi (29'), D. Duarte (59'), L. Martinez (92'), S. Lopes Cabral (103'), D. Borges (111').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +8.05 units (Brier 0.284).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.67	2.90	39%	Cashed	+1.67	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.30	2.30	41%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.62	1.62	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.43	2.50	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	20.00	22.22	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	17.00	20.00	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	5.93	5.75	24%	Cashed	+4.93	Cashed
Draw	8.48	8.26	14%	Cashed	+7.48	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	1.50	63%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.02	1.02	90%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
BTTS No	1.43	1.38	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.14	1.14	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.03	1.03	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	1.18	80%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.65	4.50	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+8.05u	+54% ROI