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Home World World Cup South Africa — Canada

Preview South Africa vs Canada June 28, 2026

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
South Africa
South Africa
Home · last 5 L D W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Jun · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Canada
Canada
D W L Away · last 5
Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Home Win · RSA
26%
Best 6.16
Draw
26%
Best 3.78
Away Win · CAN
49%
Best 1.70

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams not to score — 51% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

South Africa arrives with solid home momentum, boasting a strong defensive record and a reliable attack that averages over 1.5 goals per match in qualifiers. Their compact block and set-piece threat could challenge Canada, whose form and stats remain uncertain, adding a layer of unpredictability. The neutral venue levels the playing field, but South Africa's recent consistency and pressing edge suggest they hold a slight tactical advantage.

  • South Africa's disciplined defense and efficient attack
  • Canada's unknown form adds uncertainty
  • Neutral ground favors tactical adaptability

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 49% Canada win
Over/Under 2.5 50% Over 2.5
BTTS 51% No
Double Chance 74% X2
  • 1X2 Canada win 49%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50%
  • BTTS No 51%
  • Double Chance X2 74%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
South Africa
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 3
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1
xG (for / against) 0.85 / 1.14
Canada
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.21 / 0.74

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.67
Goals Scored
2.67
1
Goals Conceded
1
0.85
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
3.33
Shots on Target
7
3.33
Corners
11.33
44.33
Possession (%)
61.67
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🌍 Qualification form

Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
South Africa Medium data confidence
W D D W W
Matches9
Goals for / against15 / 6
Goals for / match1.67
Goals against / match0.67
Clean sheets44.4%
Both teams to score44.4%
Over 1.5 goals88.9%
Over 2.5 goals44.4%
Avg corners6.7
Avg shots11.8
Avg shots on target4.0
Sources: CAF World Cup Qualification
Canada No qualification data

Qualification statistics are not available for this team. This may happen for host nations or teams without imported qualification data.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
40
OFF · home
92
40
DEF · home
65
38
OFF · away
67
50
DEF · away
56
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

South Africa wins when scoring first
100%
Canada wins when scoring first
100%
South Africa BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Canada BTTS rate · last 10
40%
South Africa Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Canada Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
South Africa comeback rate · last 10
0%
Canada comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

South Africa · last 1 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 100%
76–90 0%

Canada · last 1 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 100%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

K. Ndamane
RSA · Defender
0 G
E. Makgopa
RSA · Attacker
0 G
J. David
CAN · Attacker
3 G · 1.12 g/90
C. Larin
CAN · Attacker
2 G · 1.11 g/90