P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Everton — Newcastle

Predictions by Market: Everton vs Newcastle

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Everton
Everton
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 17:30
1:4
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
L W D W L Away · last 5
Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool Referee Craig Pawson, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EVE
43%
Best 2.80
Draw
27%
Best 3.28
Away Win · NEW
30%
Best 2.60
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.27
book 3.60 · +10.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +10.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.7%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.9%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 29.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
EVE – NEW @ 3.60
+10.2%
Edge
Forecast →