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Home Ukraine Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk — Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Predictions Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv March 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Ukraine   /   Ukraine Premier League Value pick inside
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
L D D D W Away · last 5
Arena Lviv · Lviv Referee Vitaly Romanov, Ukraine
Home Win · SHA
75%
Best 1.48
Draw
18%
Best 3.90
Away Win · MET
7%
Best 6.25
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.40
Fair odds
3.86
book 4.40 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.3%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 7.2%
Odds 9.75
Show model details
Implied probability 10.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 14.70
Show model details
Implied probability 6.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 7.2%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SHA – MET @ 4.40
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →